Newcastle United at Leeds United

Updated 495 days ago

11:30 AM • May 13, 2023

Newcastle United

29.2%26.8%44.0%

Newcastle United WinDrawLeeds United Win

1.08Projected Goals 1.39

2Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United		Money Line
L 2-0	5/07 vs Arsenal	+130
W 1-3	4/30 vs Southampton	-373
W 4-1	4/27 at Everton	-130
W 1-6	4/23 vs Tottenham	-115
L 0-3	4/15 at Aston Villa	+106

Leeds United		Money Line
L 1-2	5/06 at Manchester City	+1530
L 1-4	4/30 at Bournemouth	+190
T 1-1	4/25 vs Leicester City	+140
L 1-2	4/22 at Fulham	+198
L 5-1	4/09 vs Crystal Palace	+105

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%:4.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	-165	-	-160	-163	-	-163	-160	-
Leeds United	+400	-	+390	+425	-	+425	+425	-
Draw	+330	-	+340	+345	-	+345	+345	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United	-150	-	-170	-	-175	-165	-165	-
Leeds United	+365	-	+411	-	+315	+400	+411	-
Draw	+325	-	+340	-	+300	+340	+340	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Overall Bet Value Active

Leeds United: 80.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Leeds United: 60.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Leeds United: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Leeds United: 20.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from -155 to -16405/13/2023
10:46 AM

Leeds United ML moved from +425 to +41805/13/2023
11:19 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Leeds United: 50.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Leeds United: 60.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Leeds United: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from -160 to -17005/13/2023
10:40 AM

Leeds United ML moved from +369 to +36005/12/2023
10:22 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:1.9%:1.2%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-122	o3-108	o3-120	o3-113	-	o3-113	o3-108	-
Under	u2¾+102	u3-107	u3+100	u3-103	-	u3-103	u3+100	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+100	o3-105	o3-106	-	o3-110	o3-120	o3-105	-
Under	u3-120	u3-115	u3-114	-	u3-120	u3+100	u3+100	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	49.6%


No	50.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.47%
Exactly 2	25.81%
Exactly 4	13.11%
Exactly 6	2.66%
Exactly 8	0.29%


Exactly 1	20.91%
Exactly 3	21.24%
Exactly 5	6.47%
Exactly 7	0.94%

Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	33.97%
Exactly 1	36.68%
Exactly 2	19.80%
Exactly 3	7.13%
Exactly 4	1.92%
Exactly 5	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 0	24.93%
Exactly 1	34.63%
Exactly 2	24.05%
Exactly 3	11.14%
Exactly 4	3.87%
Exactly 5	1.07%
Exactly 6	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.89%
Exactly 2	20.83%
Exactly 4	2.27%


Exactly 1	36.45%
Exactly 3	7.94%
Exactly 5	0.52%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 0	60.66%
Exactly 1	30.32%
Exactly 2	7.58%
Exactly 3	1.26%
Exactly 4	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 0	52.56%
Exactly 1	33.81%
Exactly 2	10.87%
Exactly 3	2.33%
Exactly 4	0.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals	11.18%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.27%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.10%

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals	20.83%
Wins by 3+ goals	7.73%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.30%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United

Leeds United

Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal	17.94%
Wins by 2 goals	7.91%
Wins by 3 goals	2.54%
Wins by 4 goals	0.62%
Wins by 5 goals	0.10%

Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal	23.09%
Wins by 2 goals	13.10%
Wins by 3 goals	5.43%
Wins by 4 goals	1.76%
Wins by 5 goals	0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.53%	8.47%
1.5	70.62%	29.38%
2.5	44.81%	55.19%
3.5	23.58%	76.42%
4.5	10.47%	89.53%
5.5	4.00%	96.00%
6.5	1.33%	98.67%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.03%	33.97%
1.5	29.35%	70.65%
2.5	9.55%	90.45%
3.5	2.43%	97.57%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.07%	24.93%
1.5	40.44%	59.56%
2.5	16.39%	83.61%
3.5	5.25%	94.75%
4.5	1.38%	98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.11%	31.89%
1.5	31.67%	68.33%
2.5	10.84%	89.16%
3.5	2.90%	97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United

Leeds United

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.47%	11.76%	8.17%	3.78%	1.31%	0.37%
1	9.14%	12.70%	8.82%	4.08%	1.42%	0.39%
2	4.94%	6.86%	4.76%	2.20%	0.77%	0.21%
3	1.78%	2.47%	1.71%	0.79%	0.28%	0.08%
4	0.48%	0.67%	0.46%	0.21%	0.07%	0.02%
5	0.10%	0.14%	0.10%	0.05%	0.02%	0.00%

Newcastle United
1-0	9.14%
2-0	4.94%
2-1	6.86%
3-0	1.78%
3-1	2.47%
3-2	1.71%
4-0	0.48%
4-1	0.67%
4-2	0.46%
4-3	0.21%
5-0	0.10%
5-1	0.14%

Draw
0-0	8.47%
1-1	12.70%
2-2	4.76%
3-3	0.79%

Leeds United
0-1	11.76%
0-2	8.17%
1-2	8.82%
0-3	3.78%
1-3	4.08%
2-3	2.20%
0-4	1.31%
1-4	1.42%
2-4	0.77%
3-4	0.28%
0-5	0.37%
1-5	0.39%
2-5	0.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United

Leeds United

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	31.89%	20.51%	6.59%	1.41%	0.23%
1	15.94%	10.25%	3.30%	0.71%	0.11%
2	3.98%	2.56%	0.82%	0.18%	0.03%
3	0.66%	0.43%	0.14%	0.03%	0.00%

Newcastle United
1-0	15.94%
2-0	3.98%
2-1	2.56%
3-0	0.66%
3-1	0.43%
3-2	0.14%

Draw
0-0	31.89%
1-1	10.25%
2-2	0.82%

Leeds United
0-1	20.51%
0-2	6.59%
1-2	3.30%
0-3	1.41%
1-3	0.71%
2-3	0.18%
0-4	0.23%
1-4	0.11%

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