Newcastle United at Aston Villa

Updated

Newcastle United

24.1%24.4%51.5%
Newcastle United WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.66
0Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 5-1 at West Ham United+123
W 0-2 vs Manchester United+130
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-160
L 0-2 at Manchester City+550
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+150
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Leicester City+170
W 2-0 at Chelsea+500
W 0-3 vs Bournemouth-140
T 1-1 at West Ham United+225
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+118

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+118+116+110+114-+114+116-
Aston Villa+248+264+255+260-+260+264-
Draw+246+245+250+245-+245+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+110-+106--105+100+106-
Aston Villa+255-+264-+230+290+290-
Draw+240-+242-+220+240+242-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +118 to +112
Aston Villa ML moved from +266 to +260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Aston Villa: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +110 to +100
Aston Villa ML moved from +279 to +264

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+100o2½-105o2½-102-o2½-102o2½+100-
Underu2½-118u2½-115u2½-115u2½-114-u2½-114u2½-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½-104-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100-
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-116-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 415.03%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.91%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 018.96%
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 314.53%
Exactly 46.04%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.38%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 061.28%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 046.31%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.72%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals27.62%
Wins by 3+ goals11.86%
Wins by 4+ goals4.17%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.17%
Wins by 2 goals6.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals15.76%
Wins by 3 goals7.69%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.50%24.50%
2.551.13%48.87%
3.529.04%70.96%
4.514.01%85.99%
5.55.84%94.16%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.54%71.46%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.04%18.96%
1.549.51%50.49%
2.523.30%76.70%
3.58.77%91.23%
4.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.62%28.38%
1.535.88%64.12%
2.513.37%86.63%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.59%
10.95%
9.10%
5.05%
2.10%
0.70%
1
6.96%
11.58%
9.63%
5.34%
2.22%
0.74%
2
3.68%
6.12%
5.09%
2.82%
1.17%
0.39%
3
1.30%
2.16%
1.79%
0.99%
0.41%
0.14%
4
0.34%
0.57%
0.47%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
Newcastle United
1-06.96%
2-03.68%
2-16.12%
3-01.30%
3-12.16%
3-21.79%
4-00.34%
4-10.57%
4-20.47%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-111.58%
2-25.09%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-110.95%
0-29.10%
1-29.63%
0-35.05%
1-35.34%
2-32.82%
0-42.10%
1-42.22%
2-41.17%
3-40.41%
0-50.70%
1-50.74%
2-50.39%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
28.38%
21.85%
8.41%
2.16%
0.42%
1
13.90%
10.70%
4.12%
1.06%
0.20%
2
3.40%
2.62%
1.01%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.56%
0.43%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-013.90%
2-03.40%
2-12.62%
3-00.56%
3-10.43%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-028.38%
1-110.70%
2-21.01%
Aston Villa
0-121.85%
0-28.41%
1-24.12%
0-32.16%
1-31.06%
2-30.26%
0-40.42%
1-40.20%