Newcastle United at Aston Villa

Updated

Newcastle United

24.1%24.4%51.5%
Newcastle United WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.66
0Final Score 3

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 5-1 at West Ham United+123
W 0-2 vs Manchester United+130
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-160
L 0-2 at Manchester City+550
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+150
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Leicester City+170
W 2-0 at Chelsea+500
W 0-3 vs Bournemouth-140
T 1-1 at West Ham United+225
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+118

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+118+116+110+114-+114+116-
Aston Villa+248+264+255+260-+260+264-
Draw+246+245+250+245-+245+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle United+110-+106--105+100+106-
Aston Villa+255-+264-+230+290+290-
Draw+240-+242-+220+240+242-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +118 to +112
Aston Villa ML moved from +266 to +260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Aston Villa: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Newcastle United: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle United: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle United ML moved from +110 to +100
Aston Villa ML moved from +279 to +264

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+100o2½-105o2½-102-o2½-102o2½+100-
Underu2½-118u2½-115u2½-115u2½-114-u2½-114u2½-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½-104-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100-
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-116-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 415.03%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.91%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 018.96%
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 314.53%
Exactly 46.04%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.38%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 061.28%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 046.31%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.72%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals27.62%
Wins by 3+ goals11.86%
Wins by 4+ goals4.17%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.17%
Wins by 2 goals6.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals15.76%
Wins by 3 goals7.69%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.50%24.50%
2.551.13%48.87%
3.529.04%70.96%
4.514.01%85.99%
5.55.84%94.16%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.54%71.46%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.04%18.96%
1.549.51%50.49%
2.523.30%76.70%
3.58.77%91.23%
4.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.62%28.38%
1.535.88%64.12%
2.513.37%86.63%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.59%
10.95%
9.10%
5.05%
2.10%
0.70%
1
6.96%
11.58%
9.63%
5.34%
2.22%
0.74%
2
3.68%
6.12%
5.09%
2.82%
1.17%
0.39%
3
1.30%
2.16%
1.79%
0.99%
0.41%
0.14%
4
0.34%
0.57%
0.47%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
Newcastle United
1-06.96%
2-03.68%
2-16.12%
3-01.30%
3-12.16%
3-21.79%
4-00.34%
4-10.57%
4-20.47%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-111.58%
2-25.09%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-110.95%
0-29.10%
1-29.63%
0-35.05%
1-35.34%
2-32.82%
0-42.10%
1-42.22%
2-41.17%
3-40.41%
0-50.70%
1-50.74%
2-50.39%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
28.38%
21.85%
8.41%
2.16%
0.42%
1
13.90%
10.70%
4.12%
1.06%
0.20%
2
3.40%
2.62%
1.01%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.56%
0.43%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-013.90%
2-03.40%
2-12.62%
3-00.56%
3-10.43%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-028.38%
1-110.70%
2-21.01%
Aston Villa
0-121.85%
0-28.41%
1-24.12%
0-32.16%
1-31.06%
2-30.26%
0-40.42%
1-40.20%
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