Watford at Chelsea

Updated

Watford

8.0%14.7%77.2%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.52
1Final Score 2

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 5-1 vs Leicester City+390
T 0-0 vs Everton+500
L 0-1 at Crystal Palace+435
L 2-1 vs Burnley+160
L 1-5 at Manchester City+1975
Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Leicester City-245
W 3-0 at Leeds United-150
T 2-2 vs Wolverhampton-300
L 0-1 at Everton-140
T 1-1 at Manchester United+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1423+1618+1300+1500+1520+1500+1618+1536.5
Chelsea-588-528-530-525-669-525-525-422.5
Draw+616+635+600+675+655+675+675+667.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+1400-+1500--+1550+1550+1536.5
Chelsea-595--550---600-550-422.5
Draw+639-+590--+650+650+667.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1611 to +1510
Chelsea ML moved from -520 to -528

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1550 to +1200
Chelsea ML moved from -550 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3-138o3¼-105o3¼-106-o3¼-106o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3-102u3+123u3¼-115u3¼-110-u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-140o3-140-o3-145o3-135o3-135o3¼+104
Underu3+115u3+120u3+120-u3+115u3+115u3+120u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3-140
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.07%
Exactly 220.86%
Exactly 417.81%
Exactly 66.09%
Exactly 81.11%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.03%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 511.41%
Exactly 72.78%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 050.43%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 211.82%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 08.07%
Exactly 120.32%
Exactly 225.56%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 413.49%
Exactly 56.79%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 71.02%
Exactly 80.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.71%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 312.33%
Exactly 51.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 072.84%
Exactly 123.08%
Exactly 23.66%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 031.18%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals1.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals55.12%
Wins by 3+ goals33.03%
Wins by 4+ goals16.67%
Wins by 5+ goals7.16%
Wins by 6+ goals2.62%
Wins by 7+ goals0.79%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Watford
Wins by 1 goal5.97%
Wins by 2 goals1.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal22.00%
Wins by 2 goals22.09%
Wins by 3 goals16.36%
Wins by 4 goals9.52%
Wins by 5 goals4.54%
Wins by 6 goals1.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.93%4.07%
1.582.90%17.10%
2.562.04%37.96%
3.539.78%60.22%
4.521.96%78.04%
5.510.56%89.44%
6.54.47%95.53%
7.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.57%50.43%
1.515.04%84.96%
2.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.93%8.07%
1.571.61%28.39%
2.546.05%53.95%
3.524.60%75.40%
4.511.11%88.89%
5.54.32%95.68%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.29%22.71%
1.543.62%56.38%
2.518.67%81.33%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Chelsea
Score012345
0
4.07%
10.25%
12.89%
10.82%
6.81%
3.43%
1
2.79%
7.01%
8.83%
7.40%
4.66%
2.34%
2
0.95%
2.40%
3.02%
2.53%
1.59%
0.80%
3
0.22%
0.55%
0.69%
0.58%
0.36%
0.18%
Watford
1-02.79%
2-00.95%
2-12.40%
3-00.22%
3-10.55%
3-20.69%
Draw
0-04.07%
1-17.01%
2-23.02%
3-30.58%
Chelsea
0-110.25%
0-212.89%
1-28.83%
0-310.82%
1-37.40%
2-32.53%
0-46.81%
1-44.66%
2-41.59%
3-40.36%
0-53.43%
1-52.34%
2-50.80%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Chelsea
Score012345
0
22.71%
26.47%
15.42%
5.99%
1.74%
0.41%
1
7.20%
8.39%
4.89%
1.90%
0.55%
0.13%
2
1.14%
1.33%
0.77%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-07.20%
2-01.14%
2-11.33%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-022.71%
1-18.39%
2-20.77%
Chelsea
0-126.47%
0-215.42%
1-24.89%
0-35.99%
1-31.90%
2-30.30%
0-41.74%
1-40.55%
0-50.41%
1-50.13%