English Premier League Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 28, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Everton
Newcastle United 		48.5%
26.0%		25.5%
+372
-140
+355
-140
1.54
1.05		2.59
o2¾-106
u2¾-110
o2½-130
u2½+115
West Ham United
Liverpool 		12.8%
68.8%		18.4%
+650
-250
+640
-255
0.84
2.23		3.07
o3¼-107
u3¼-109
o3½+120
u3½-140
Manchester City
Leeds United 		76.2%
8.6%		15.2%
-165
+429
-175
+425
2.50
0.72		3.22
o2¾-115
u2¾+100
o3+105
u3-125
Games for May 2, 2021
Games for Mar 1, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Newcastle United
Manchester United 		9.8%
74.0%		16.1%
+172
+147
+173
+147
3.19
o3+100
u3-108
o3+105
u3+120
FINAL
FINAL		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton		30.4%
43.0%		26.6%
-134
+400
-125
+375
0
2		-1.64730-1.58362-0.84406
Manchester United
Everton		51.5%
24.3%		24.3%
+104
+270
-101
+260
1
0		-0.73295-0.72741-0.66448
Arsenal
Tottenham		30.8%
42.8%		26.4%
-230
+695
-220
+665
4
1		-0.39504-0.40522-1.17775
Wolverhampton
Crystal Palace		40.3%
30.8%		28.9%
+372
-125
+370
-127
0
1		-0.62129-0.62101-1.17866
Newcastle United
Manchester City		5.5%
82.8%		11.7%
+480
-185
+485
-190
1
2		-0.46587-0.45260-0.18843
Bournemouth
West Ham United		16.4%
62.2%		21.4%
+147
+179
+155
+171
0
0		-1.33534-1.32927-1.53982
Burnley
Chelsea		12.6%
68.6%		18.8%
+1160
-425
+1125
-465
1
1		-1.96476-2.02276-1.67147
Leeds United
Aston Villa		27.1%
47.7%		25.1%
+335
-117
+350
-120
1
1		-1.35883-1.34557-1.38139
Arsenal
Wolverhampton		41.1%
31.0%		27.9%
-395
+1125
-380
+1180
2
2		-1.89154-1.82753-1.27805
Liverpool
Sunderland		82.5%
5.2%		12.3%
-122
+360
-131
+375
1
0		-0.62174-0.60070-0.19215
Fulham
Manchester City		4.5%
84.7%		10.8%
+680
-255
+725
-285
0
3		-0.36544-0.34314-0.16611
Burnley
Crystal Palace		29.5%
41.1%		29.3%
+610
-210
+595
-215
3
2		-1.99510-1.98028-1.21946
Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa		26.9%
47.4%		25.8%
+230
+108
+269
+100
0
1		-0.77629-0.72675-0.74705
Manchester United
West Ham United		56.7%
20.6%		22.7%
-147
+378
-145
+365
1
1		-1.50919-1.48828-1.48422
Newcastle United
Tottenham		14.6%
66.0%		19.5%
+126
+215
+125
+209
2
1		-0.83820-0.85428-1.92696
Leeds United
Chelsea		14.0%
67.0%		18.9%
+565
-198
+525
-190
2
2		-1.57475-1.54952-1.66590
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.64730 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.58362 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.84406
0.80324
0.73956

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/16/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin PremiershipChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Manchester City (16-2-5, 53 pts)25.24.68.283.796.7%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Manchester United (13-4-7, 46 pts)19.87.510.770.21.8%84.1%7.7%0.0%
3Leicester City (14-6-4, 46 pts)20.110.07.968.21.0%70.8%13.5%0.0%
4Chelsea (12-6-6, 42 pts)18.210.09.864.30.0%42.5%19.5%0.0%
5West Ham United (12-6-6, 42 pts)16.711.49.960.00.0%11.8%10.7%0.0%
6Liverpool (11-6-7, 40 pts)18.88.910.466.70.4%61.9%19.0%0.0%
7Everton (11-7-4, 37 pts)16.712.88.558.70.1%8.0%7.5%0.0%
8Aston Villa (11-8-3, 36 pts)16.214.57.455.90.0%3.7%4.1%0.0%
9Tottenham (10-7-6, 36 pts)16.711.210.160.20.0%14.8%13.4%0.0%
10Arsenal (10-10-4, 34 pts)16.014.37.755.70.0%2.2%4.2%0.0%
11Leeds United (10-11-2, 32 pts)14.417.56.049.40.0%0.0%0.2%0.3%
12Wolverhampton (8-10-6, 30 pts)13.115.09.949.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
13Southampton (8-10-5, 29 pts)13.315.59.249.00.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%
14Crystal Palace (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.017.38.744.70.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%
15Brighton and Hove Albion (5-8-11, 26 pts)9.213.914.842.50.0%0.0%0.0%6.0%
16Burnley (7-11-5, 26 pts)11.417.49.243.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.3%
17Newcastle United (7-13-4, 25 pts)10.819.57.740.20.0%0.0%0.0%14.5%
17Watford (6-14-9, 27 pts)8.318.311.436.40.0%0.0%0.0%32.5%
20Norwich City (5-18-6, 21 pts)6.922.88.329.00.0%0.0%0.0%95.1%

Predictions Methodology

The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa League. Each year, the 18th through 20th placed team gets relegated to the English Championship division.