France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated 7 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/29/2025 06:30 PM	Metz Reims	22.5% 48.0%	29.5%	+198 +160 +210 +140	3 1	-1.12599-1.18185	-1.49214
05/21/2025 06:00 PM	Reims Metz	39.8% 28.3%	31.9%	+250 +120 +250 +120	1 1	-1.24271-1.22550	-1.14351
05/17/2025 07:00 PM	Brest Nice	30.9% 42.5%	26.5%	+520 -190 +485 -200	0 6	-0.44735-0.45678	-0.85475
05/17/2025 07:00 PM	Montpellier Nantes	37.3% 32.8%	29.9%	+550 -180 +510 -185	0 3	-0.47068-0.48203	-1.11514
05/17/2025 07:00 PM	Reims Lille	19.0% 54.8%	26.2%	+800 -265 +675 -250	1 2	-0.34919-0.38480	-0.60150
05/17/2025 07:00 PM	Rennes Marseille	25.6% 46.8%	27.6%	+405 -155 +370 -150	2 4	-0.52553-0.56044	-0.75931
05/17/2025 07:00 PM	Toulouse Saint-Etienne	9.9% 72.8%	17.3%	+190 +137 +200 +130	3 2	-1.09419-1.12609	-2.31658
05/17/2025 07:00 PM	Angers Lyon	14.6% 65.6%	19.8%	+1500 -575 +1500 -430	0 2	-0.19389-0.20411	-0.42222
05/10/2025 07:00 PM	Lille Brest	61.0% 17.0%	22.1%	-138 +395 -150 +390	0 2	-1.62481-1.63897	-1.77349
05/10/2025 07:00 PM	Lyon Monaco	48.1% 27.4%	24.5%	+293 -120 +285 -125	0 2	-0.63296-0.63713	-1.29415
05/10/2025 07:00 PM	Nice Rennes	25.5% 49.0%	25.5%	+119 +220 +110 +235	0 2	-1.19491-1.24612	-0.71355
05/10/2025 07:00 PM	Paris Saint-Germain Montpellier	83.6% 5.1%	11.3%	-255 +605 -270 +590	4 1	-0.36494-0.36544	-0.17902
05/10/2025 07:00 PM	Strasbourg Angers	38.3% 33.3%	28.5%	-120 +347 -125 +330	1 2	-1.52588-1.50860	-1.10024
05/10/2025 07:00 PM	Saint-Etienne Reims	21.4% 51.3%	27.3%	+242 +115 +245 +110	2 0	-1.25706-1.28500	-1.54150
05/04/2025 06:45 PM	Marseille Lille	23.3% 51.1%	25.6%	+210 +140 +200 +140	1 1	-1.26705-1.25632	-1.36301
05/04/2025 03:15 PM	Montpellier Brest	41.4% 30.1%	28.5%	+750 -280 +800 -325	0 1	-0.33853-0.31825	-1.20091

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)	23.2	3.8	11.0	80.6	27.6%	98.1%	1.9%	0.0%
2	Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)	26.2	8.3	3.5	82.1	71.1%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)	23.5	8.4	6.1	76.6	1.2%	68.1%	31.9%	0.0%
4	Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)	21.1	5.9	11.0	74.3	0.1%	33.9%	66.1%	0.0%
5	Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)	15.6	10.5	11.8	58.7	0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	0.0%
6	Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)	16.8	10.1	11.1	61.4	0.0%	0.0%	67.0%	0.0%
7	Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)	16.3	11.7	10.0	58.8	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%	0.0%
8	Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)	13.6	12.2	12.2	53.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
9	Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)	14.1	15.8	8.1	50.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)	12.3	14.5	11.2	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)	10.3	12.7	15.1	45.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)	12.2	16.7	9.1	45.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)	12.1	18.0	7.9	44.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)	11.0	16.8	10.1	43.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
15	Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)	11.5	18.3	8.2	42.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
16	Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)	11.6	19.3	7.1	41.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.6%
17	Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)	10.1	18.7	9.2	39.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.6%
18	Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)	7.4	16.5	14.1	36.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	30.8%
19	Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)	9.0	20.9	8.0	35.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	64.5%
20	Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)	4.5	23.3	10.2	23.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.