France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Nice
Angers 		32.7%
40.7%		26.6%
+147
+220
+140
+222
1.19
1.36		2.55
o2¼-122
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Brest
Monaco 		23.2%
53.4%		23.4%
+394
-149
+400
-160
1.08
1.77		2.85
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o2½-150
u3-125
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Lille		10.5%
71.6%		17.9%
+560
-186
+540
-185
1
1		-1.49246-1.47762-1.71998
Rennes
Nice		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+160
+171
+155
+170
4
0		-0.98943-0.98321-0.91577
Marseille
Toulouse		78.7%
6.7%		14.6%
+120
+236
+117
+225
1
0		-0.82175-0.81998-0.23951
Angers
Nantes		30.4%
41.5%		28.2%
+278
+125
+260
+131
1
0		-1.36387-1.31875-1.19231
Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain		3.7%
88.3%		8.0%
+640
-260
+625
-275
3
1		-2.03677-2.02609-3.28662
Lyon
Marseille		39.8%
32.3%		27.9%
+290
-105
+280
-104
2
3		-0.70370-0.71607-1.13097
Nantes
Lille		14.3%
64.8%		20.9%
+600
-200
+575
-201
0
1		-0.43914-0.44365-0.43464
Brest
Metz		31.1%
39.8%		29.1%
+116
+270
+115
+245
1
0		-0.79709-0.81340-1.16809
Angers
Monaco		24.7%
51.6%		23.7%
+630
-225
+625
-228
0
2		-0.40260-0.40217-0.66132
Toulouse
Rennes		6.5%
78.9%		14.6%
+295
+100
+295
-105
0
1		-0.72741-0.71502-0.23737
Lyon
Strasbourg		49.3%
24.9%		25.7%
+215
+126
+212
+130
1
3		-0.85090-0.86322-1.39006
Lille
Angers		59.5%
18.1%		22.4%
-128
+392
-127
+375
1
0		-0.61234-0.62379-0.51936
Lorient
Nice		26.9%
47.1%		26.0%
+236
+120
+220
+128
3
3		-1.30023-1.27432-1.34811
Metz
Paris Saint-Germain		2.9%
89.3%		7.8%
+1850
-745
+1800
-880
0
3		-0.16084-0.14829-0.11337
Marseille
Brest		49.4%
24.4%		26.2%
-112
+297
-110
+290
0
2		-1.41469-1.40544-1.40862
Nice
Lyon		14.5%
66.4%		19.0%
+320
-114
+310
-109
0
2		-0.66318-0.68820-0.40931
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.