France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+365
+103
+360
+100
1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-115
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-140
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-270
+670
-265
+600
3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-121
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Reims
Nice		39.0%
31.8%		29.2%
+385
-120
+370
-125
0
0		-1.30379-1.31572-1.23169
Lens
Rennes		22.1%
55.7%		22.2%
+315
-102
+275
+100
1
1		-1.30431-1.30383-1.50715
Paris Saint-Germain
Troyes		92.0%
4.4%		3.6%
-300
+851
-300
+750
2
1		-0.32430-0.33596-0.08381
Brest
Lyon		20.8%
61.2%		18.0%
+770
-275
+700
-275
1
1		-1.76241-1.70584-1.71563
Nantes
Monaco		29.7%
45.4%		24.9%
+740
-225
+700
-250
1
1		-1.57978-1.59825-1.38878
Lorient
Strasbourg		26.0%
48.7%		25.2%
+390
+195
+390
+170
1
1		-1.30362-1.31984-1.03214
Dijon
Saint-Etienne		36.0%
35.2%		28.8%
+1050
-333
+950
-365
1
0		-2.46475-2.39987-1.02196
Nimes
Rennes		23.7%
54.0%		22.3%
+1100
-400
+1100
-450
0
2		-0.25630-0.24914-0.61704
Bordeaux
Reims		30.6%
39.2%		30.3%
+191
+167
+180
+160
2
1		-1.09838-1.07790-1.18476
Montpellier
Nantes		36.6%
33.4%		29.9%
+465
-172
+500
-180
2
1		-1.76271-1.83559-1.00414
Marseille
Metz		44.6%
28.1%		27.3%
-110
+300
-110
+290
1
1		-1.05077-1.05306-1.03830
Nice
Lyon		21.9%
60.3%		17.7%
+1105
-450
+1050
-475
3
2		-2.51875-2.49205-1.51718
Monaco
Lens		51.3%
26.4%		22.3%
-165
+453
-175
+425
0
0		-1.12226-1.10300-1.00016
Paris Saint-Germain
Brest		86.4%
8.1%		5.5%
-420
+975
-450
+850
2
0		-0.24879-0.24797-0.14560
Lille
Angers		54.2%
24.2%		21.6%
-249
+750
-300
+800
2
1		-0.36445-0.33798-0.61280
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain		8.7%
82.8%		8.5%
+2100
-800
+1850
-900
0
4		-0.15351-0.15537-0.18926
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.