France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+365
+103
+360
+100
1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-115
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-140
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-270
+670
-265
+600
3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-121
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Nimes		61.7%
20.8%		17.5%
-320
+900
-330
+750
5
2		-0.29614-0.31516-0.48297
Strasbourg
Nice		38.0%
34.5%		27.5%
+130
+230
+140
+215
2
0		-0.85146-0.90333-0.96827
Brest
Montpellier		27.6%
46.5%		26.0%
+180
+148
+165
+150
0
0		-0.99085-0.99196-1.02745
Rennes
Monaco		33.2%
40.2%		26.6%
+360
-125
+360
-130
1
2		-0.61995-0.61865-0.91076
Angers
Marseille		25.1%
51.6%		23.3%
+650
-208
+610
-225
2
3		-0.41599-0.41703-0.66202
Metz
Lorient		35.4%
34.1%		30.5%
+485
-155
+440
-160
1
2		-0.52621-0.55059-1.07681
Saint-Etienne
Lille		19.0%
64.3%		16.7%
+900
-275
+900
-325
0
0		-1.33918-1.33410-1.05052
Nantes
Dijon		32.9%
38.0%		29.1%
-240
+775
-250
+750
4
0		-0.37433-0.38462-1.11060
Lens
Bordeaux		22.9%
55.6%		21.4%
+135
+230
+130
+225
0
3		-1.21053-1.21460-0.58625
Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes		80.7%
10.8%		8.5%
-175
+552
-180
+540
1
1		-1.17928-1.17016-1.21830
Monaco
Reims		32.7%
38.6%		28.7%
-230
+700
-260
+750
1
0		-0.39516-0.37459-1.11887
Montpellier
Strasbourg		33.6%
36.8%		29.6%
+440
-160
+340
-150
3
2		-1.70843-1.53229-1.08919
Brest
Nice		32.8%
40.7%		26.5%
+196
+148
+190
+145
2
3		-0.93468-0.94631-0.89808
Nimes
Metz		28.2%
45.8%		26.0%
+163
+181
+150
+175
3
0		-0.98857-0.96446-1.26486
Dijon
Angers		34.2%
37.5%		28.3%
+515
-156
+380
-135
0
3		-0.51284-0.60602-0.98168
Marseille
Saint-Etienne		47.1%
27.7%		25.2%
+125
+225
+115
+225
0
1		-1.21271-1.22803-1.28356
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.