France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lorient
Toulouse 		61.8%
15.4%		22.8%
+365
+103
+360
+100
1.77
0.75		2.52
o2¼-115
u2¼-105
o2½+120
u2½-140
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice 		88.2%
3.7%		8.1%
-270
+670
-265
+600
3.43
0.64		4.07
o3¼-121
u3¼+102
o3½+105
u3½-125
Games for Mar 20, 2026
Games for Mar 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Montpellier
Lille		24.0%
53.3%		22.8%
+525
-167
+500
-170
1
1		-1.18279-1.17857-1.02902
Angers
Lyon		21.4%
58.9%		19.7%
+900
-299
+750
-275
0
3		-0.31303-0.35988-0.52938
Dijon
Monaco		30.2%
46.4%		23.5%
+1400
-520
+1500
-600
0
3		-0.20582-0.20577-0.76867
Bordeaux
Saint-Etienne		41.4%
33.1%		25.5%
+270
+121
+265
+125
1
4		-0.82298-0.86138-1.10470
Reims
Nice		40.1%
32.7%		27.2%
+278
+120
+255
+120
0
0		-1.08461-1.07529-1.01641
Lorient
Lens		38.1%
34.6%		27.4%
+250
+127
+250
+110
1
4		-0.83246-0.79239-1.06247
Nimes
Brest		29.3%
46.3%		24.5%
+285
+101
+250
+105
1
1		-1.04062-1.03534-0.99964
Nantes
Rennes		29.8%
43.5%		26.7%
+345
-110
+350
-120
0
1		-0.67641-0.65433-0.83220
Marseille
Montpellier		38.4%
34.4%		27.3%
+185
+158
+185
+155
3
3		-1.03388-1.04118-1.01300
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		77.8%
9.9%		12.2%
-145
+420
-150
+400
4
1		-0.55392-0.55961-0.25063
Lille
Metz		53.9%
23.1%		23.0%
-150
+550
-145
+475
2
0		-0.53974-0.57471-0.61874
Dijon
Marseille		25.7%
49.8%		24.5%
+625
-190
+560
-190
0
2		-0.44507-0.47221-0.69798
Saint-Etienne
Nimes		38.2%
34.1%		27.7%
+133
+226
+130
+215
2
0		-0.87717-0.88242-0.96291
Strasbourg
Bordeaux		32.9%
38.8%		28.3%
+173
+185
+170
+180
3
2		-1.03356-1.04214-1.11063
Rennes
Reims		30.5%
37.7%		31.8%
+120
+285
+115
+280
2
2		-1.09952-1.09984-1.08171
Nice
Nantes		32.5%
40.3%		27.1%
+220
+145
+190
+150
2
1		-1.19112-1.11590-1.12295
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (21-3-10, 73 pts)23.23.811.080.627.6%98.1%1.9%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (23-8-3, 72 pts)26.28.33.582.171.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%
3Monaco (22-7-5, 71 pts)23.58.46.176.61.2%68.1%31.9%0.0%
4Lyon (19-5-10, 67 pts)21.15.911.074.30.1%33.9%66.1%0.0%
5Lens (15-8-11, 56 pts)15.610.511.858.70.0%0.0%11.5%0.0%
6Marseille (15-9-10, 55 pts)16.810.111.161.40.0%0.0%67.0%0.0%
7Rennes (15-10-9, 54 pts)16.311.710.058.80.0%0.0%21.2%0.0%
8Montpellier (12-11-11, 47 pts)13.612.212.253.10.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
9Nice (13-14-7, 46 pts)14.115.88.150.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Metz (11-13-10, 43 pts)12.314.511.248.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (9-11-14, 41 pts)10.312.715.145.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (11-15-8, 41 pts)12.216.79.145.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Brest (11-16-7, 40 pts)12.118.07.944.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Saint-Etienne (10-15-9, 39 pts)11.016.810.143.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%
15Strasbourg (10-17-7, 37 pts)11.518.38.242.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
16Bordeaux (10-18-6, 36 pts)11.619.37.141.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
17Lorient (9-17-8, 35 pts)10.118.79.239.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
18Nantes (6-15-13, 31 pts)7.416.514.136.20.0%0.0%0.0%30.8%
19Nimes (8-19-7, 31 pts)9.020.98.035.10.0%0.0%0.0%64.5%
20Dijon (3-22-9, 18 pts)4.523.310.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.