Bayer 04 Leverkusen at Mainz 05

Updated 455 days ago

01:30 PM • Sep 30, 2023

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

70.3%16.9%12.7%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen WinDrawWin

2.46Projected Goals 0.95

3Final Score 0

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Bayer 04 Leverkusen		Money Line
T 2-2	9/15 at Bayern Munich	+400
W 3-0	8/26 at Borussia Monchengladbach	-128
W 2-3	8/19 vs RB Leipzig	+145
T 2-2	5/21 vs Borussia Monchengladbach	-315
T 1-1	5/14 at VfB Stuttgart	+165

Mainz 05		Money Line
L 1-2	9/23 at Augsburg	+160
L 3-1	9/16 vs VfB Stuttgart	+155
L 0-4	9/02 at Werder Bremen	+155
T 1-1	8/27 vs Eint Frankfurt	+165
L 1-4	8/20 at Union Berlin	+280

Money Line Analysis

:2.2%:3.6%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Bayer 04 Leverkusen	-160	-156	-175	-165	-	-165	-156	-
Mainz 05	+410	+420	+420	+425	-	+425	+425	-
Draw	+345	+339	+350	+350	-	+350	+350	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Bayer 04 Leverkusen	-170	-	-172	-	-225	-180	-172	-
Mainz 05	+410	-	+400	-	+410	+440	+440	-
Draw	+340	-	+354	-	+320	+350	+354	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 30.0%

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 0.0%

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 0.0%

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Bayer 04 Leverkusen ML moved from -170 to -18009/30/2023
08:50 AM

Mainz 05 ML moved from +432 to +42309/30/2023
01:15 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 30.0%

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 0.0%

Mainz 05: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 0.0%

Mainz 05: 10.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Bayer 04 Leverkusen ML moved from -180 to -19509/30/2023
08:30 AM

Mainz 05 ML moved from +420 to +40009/30/2023
01:21 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.5%:3.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3-113	o3-111	o3-115	o3-113	-	o3-113	o3-111	-
Under	u3-107	u3-104	u3-105	u3-107	-	u3-107	u3-104	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3-115	o3-115	o3-116	-	o3-120	o3-120	o3-115	-
Under	u3-105	u3-105	u3-104	-	u3-110	u3+100	u3+100	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	56.2%


No	43.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	3.31%
Exactly 2	19.22%
Exactly 4	18.61%
Exactly 6	7.21%
Exactly 8	1.50%
Exactly 10	0.19%


Exactly 1	11.28%
Exactly 3	21.84%
Exactly 5	12.69%
Exactly 7	3.51%
Exactly 9	0.57%

Exact Goals Scored - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 0	8.58%
Exactly 1	21.07%
Exactly 2	25.87%
Exactly 3	21.18%
Exactly 4	13.00%
Exactly 5	6.39%
Exactly 6	2.61%
Exactly 7	0.92%
Exactly 8	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 0	38.57%
Exactly 1	36.75%
Exactly 2	17.51%
Exactly 3	5.56%
Exactly 4	1.32%
Exactly 5	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	20.63%
Exactly 2	25.70%
Exactly 4	5.33%
Exactly 6	0.44%


Exactly 1	32.56%
Exactly 3	13.52%
Exactly 5	1.68%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Exactly 0	32.08%
Exactly 1	36.47%
Exactly 2	20.74%
Exactly 3	7.86%
Exactly 4	2.23%
Exactly 5	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 0	64.33%
Exactly 1	28.38%
Exactly 2	6.26%
Exactly 3	0.92%
Exactly 4	0.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 2+ goals	48.08%
Wins by 3+ goals	27.66%
Wins by 4+ goals	13.43%
Wins by 5+ goals	5.56%

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals	4.08%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.01%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Mainz 05

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wins by 1 goal	22.15%
Wins by 2 goals	20.43%
Wins by 3 goals	14.22%
Wins by 4 goals	7.87%
Wins by 5 goals	3.60%

Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal	8.59%
Wins by 2 goals	3.07%
Wins by 3 goals	0.82%
Wins by 4 goals	0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	96.69%	3.31%
1.5	85.41%	14.59%
2.5	66.19%	33.81%
3.5	44.36%	55.64%
4.5	25.74%	74.26%
5.5	13.06%	86.94%
6.5	5.85%	94.15%
7.5	2.34%	97.66%

Total Goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.42%	8.58%
1.5	70.35%	29.65%
2.5	44.48%	55.52%
3.5	23.30%	76.70%
4.5	10.30%	89.70%
5.5	3.91%	96.09%
6.5	1.30%	98.70%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.43%	38.57%
1.5	24.69%	75.31%
2.5	7.18%	92.82%
3.5	1.62%	98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	79.37%	20.63%
1.5	46.80%	53.20%
2.5	21.10%	78.90%
3.5	7.58%	92.42%
4.5	2.25%	97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Mainz 05

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.31%	3.15%	1.50%	0.48%	0.11%
1	8.12%	7.74%	3.69%	1.17%	0.28%
2	9.98%	9.51%	4.53%	1.44%	0.34%
3	8.17%	7.78%	3.71%	1.18%	0.28%
4	5.01%	4.78%	2.28%	0.72%	0.17%
5	2.46%	2.35%	1.12%	0.36%	0.08%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-0	8.12%
2-0	9.98%
2-1	9.51%
3-0	8.17%
3-1	7.78%
3-2	3.71%
4-0	5.01%
4-1	4.78%
4-2	2.28%
4-3	0.72%
5-0	2.46%
5-1	2.35%
5-2	1.12%
5-3	0.36%

Draw
0-0	3.31%
1-1	7.74%
2-2	4.53%
3-3	1.18%
4-4	0.17%

Mainz 05
0-1	3.15%
0-2	1.50%
1-2	3.69%
0-3	0.48%
1-3	1.17%
2-3	1.44%
0-4	0.11%
1-4	0.28%
2-4	0.34%
3-4	0.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Mainz 05

Score	0	1	2	3
0	20.63%	9.10%	2.01%	0.30%
1	23.46%	10.35%	2.28%	0.34%
2	13.34%	5.88%	1.30%	0.19%
3	5.06%	2.23%	0.49%	0.07%
4	1.44%	0.63%	0.14%	0.02%
5	0.33%	0.14%	0.03%	0.00%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-0	23.46%
2-0	13.34%
2-1	5.88%
3-0	5.06%
3-1	2.23%
3-2	0.49%
4-0	1.44%
4-1	0.63%
4-2	0.14%
5-0	0.33%
5-1	0.14%

Draw
0-0	20.63%
1-1	10.35%
2-2	1.30%

Mainz 05
0-1	9.10%
0-2	2.01%
1-2	2.28%
0-3	0.30%
1-3	0.34%
2-3	0.19%

Dortmund at Hoffenheim

Eint Frankfurt at Wolfsburg

Bayer 04 Leverkusen at Mainz 05