Mainz 05 at VfB Stuttgart

Updated

Mainz 05

21.7%21.7%56.6%
Mainz 05 WinDrawVfB Stuttgart Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.97
3Final Score 3

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin+105
W 3-1 at Wolfsburg+120
W 0-3 vs Dortmund-105
T 1-1 vs FC Koln-177
T 1-1 at Freiburg+140
VfB Stuttgart
Money Line
L 1-3 at Freiburg-105
W 0-4 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-450
W 1-0 at Augsburg-135
W 1-3 vs Bayern Munich+155
T 2-2 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+440-+380+420-+420+420-
VfB Stuttgart-185--160-148--148-148-
Draw+350-+340+307-+307+340-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+395-+395-+380+410+410-
VfB Stuttgart-160--160--200-160-160-
Draw+315-+325-+295+320+325-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 20.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +390 to +380
VfB Stuttgart ML moved from -147 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 20.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +390 to +380
VfB Stuttgart ML moved from -180 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102-o3-110o3-112-o3-112o3-110-
Underu3-118-u3-110u3-108-u3-108u3-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-115o3-115-o3-105o3-115o3-105-
Underu3-125u3-105u3-105-u3-125u3-105u3-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.6%
 
No41.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.44%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 417.41%
Exactly 65.63%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.83%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.84%
Exactly 72.50%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 031.92%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.81%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 013.91%
Exactly 127.44%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.79%
Exactly 48.77%
Exactly 53.46%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.65%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 44.26%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 311.82%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 058.93%
Exactly 131.16%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 040.12%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.73%
Exactly 35.09%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals8.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 2+ goals33.43%
Wins by 3+ goals16.18%
Wins by 4+ goals6.49%
Wins by 5+ goals2.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal13.38%
Wins by 2 goals5.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 1 goal23.10%
Wins by 2 goals17.25%
Wins by 3 goals9.69%
Wins by 4 goals4.32%
Wins by 5 goals1.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.56%4.44%
1.581.73%18.27%
2.560.19%39.81%
3.537.84%62.16%
4.520.43%79.57%
5.59.59%90.41%
6.53.96%96.04%
7.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.08%31.92%
1.531.63%68.37%
2.510.82%89.18%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals VfB Stuttgart Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.09%13.91%
1.558.64%41.36%
2.531.58%68.42%
3.513.79%86.21%
4.55.02%94.98%
5.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.35%23.65%
1.542.26%57.74%
2.517.67%82.33%
3.55.86%94.14%
4.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
Score012345
0
4.44%
8.76%
8.64%
5.68%
2.80%
1.10%
1
5.07%
10.00%
9.86%
6.49%
3.20%
1.26%
2
2.90%
5.71%
5.63%
3.70%
1.83%
0.72%
3
1.10%
2.17%
2.14%
1.41%
0.70%
0.27%
4
0.31%
0.62%
0.61%
0.40%
0.20%
0.08%
Mainz 05
1-05.07%
2-02.90%
2-15.71%
3-01.10%
3-12.17%
3-22.14%
4-00.31%
4-10.62%
4-20.61%
4-30.40%
Draw
0-04.44%
1-110.00%
2-25.63%
3-31.41%
4-40.20%
VfB Stuttgart
0-18.76%
0-28.64%
1-29.86%
0-35.68%
1-36.49%
2-33.70%
0-42.80%
1-43.20%
2-41.83%
3-40.70%
0-51.10%
1-51.26%
2-50.72%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
Score012345
0
23.65%
21.59%
9.86%
3.00%
0.69%
0.13%
1
12.50%
11.42%
5.21%
1.59%
0.36%
0.07%
2
3.31%
3.02%
1.38%
0.42%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.58%
0.53%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-012.50%
2-03.31%
2-13.02%
3-00.58%
3-10.53%
3-20.24%
Draw
0-023.65%
1-111.42%
2-21.38%
VfB Stuttgart
0-121.59%
0-29.86%
1-25.21%
0-33.00%
1-31.59%
2-30.42%
0-40.69%
1-40.36%
0-50.13%