Union Berlin at Mainz 05

Updated

Union Berlin

42.5%25.5%31.9%
Union Berlin WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.48Projected Goals 1.24
1Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Freiburg-108
L 2-3 at FC Koln+170
T 0-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+188
L 5-1 vs Bayern Munich+400
L 0-2 at Augsburg+255
Mainz 05
Money Line
W 3-1 at Wolfsburg+120
W 0-3 vs Dortmund-105
T 1-1 vs FC Koln-177
T 1-1 at Freiburg+140
W 1-4 vs Hoffenheim-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+280-+270+285-+285+285-
Mainz 05+100-+105+110-+110+110-
Draw+220-+240+234-+234+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+305-+282-+265+285+285-
Mainz 05+100-+105--115+105+105-
Draw+230-+230-+215+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 50.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +270 to +260
Mainz 05 ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 50.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +285 to +265
No Steam Moves On Mainz 05 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2½+105o2½+104-o2½+104o2½+105-
Underu2¼-115-u2½-125u2½-124-u2½-124u2½-124-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+110o2½+105-o2½+105o2½+105o2½+110-
Underu2½-145u2½-130u2½-125-u2½-135u2½-125u2½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.60%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 415.01%
Exactly 63.70%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.94%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.16%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 022.90%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 312.23%
Exactly 44.51%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 028.83%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.41%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 050.53%
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 211.77%
Exactly 32.68%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 056.23%
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 29.32%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals20.61%
Wins by 3+ goals7.91%
Wins by 4+ goals2.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals13.50%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal21.84%
Wins by 2 goals12.70%
Wins by 3 goals5.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal18.42%
Wins by 2 goals9.03%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.40%6.60%
1.575.46%24.54%
2.551.07%48.93%
3.528.98%71.02%
4.513.98%86.02%
5.55.82%94.18%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.10%22.90%
1.543.35%56.65%
2.518.47%81.53%
3.56.25%93.75%
4.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.17%28.83%
1.535.31%64.69%
2.513.01%86.99%
3.53.77%96.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.59%28.41%
1.535.84%64.16%
2.513.34%86.66%
3.53.91%96.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
6.60%
8.21%
5.10%
2.12%
0.66%
0.16%
1
9.73%
12.10%
7.53%
3.12%
0.97%
0.24%
2
7.17%
8.92%
5.55%
2.30%
0.71%
0.18%
3
3.53%
4.38%
2.73%
1.13%
0.35%
0.09%
4
1.30%
1.62%
1.00%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.38%
0.48%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-09.73%
2-07.17%
2-18.92%
3-03.53%
3-14.38%
3-22.73%
4-01.30%
4-11.62%
4-21.00%
4-30.42%
5-00.38%
5-10.48%
5-20.30%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.60%
1-112.10%
2-25.55%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Mainz 05
0-18.21%
0-25.10%
1-27.53%
0-32.12%
1-33.12%
2-32.30%
0-40.66%
1-40.97%
2-40.71%
3-40.35%
0-50.16%
1-50.24%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
28.41%
16.36%
4.71%
0.90%
0.13%
1
19.39%
11.17%
3.21%
0.62%
0.09%
2
6.62%
3.81%
1.10%
0.21%
0.03%
3
1.51%
0.87%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.26%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-019.39%
2-06.62%
2-13.81%
3-01.51%
3-10.87%
3-20.25%
4-00.26%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-028.41%
1-111.17%
2-21.10%
Mainz 05
0-116.36%
0-24.71%
1-23.21%
0-30.90%
1-30.62%
2-30.21%
0-40.13%