German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Freiburg
Wolfsburg 		25.0%
50.5%		24.5%
+176
+157
+181
+145
1.09
1.65		2.74
o2½-122
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Union Berlin
FC Koln 		41.2%
33.6%		25.2%
+214
+142
+205
+140
1.48
1.32		2.80
o2½-101
u2½-112
o2½+100
u2½-120
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart 		35.9%
38.6%		25.5%
+241
+108
+237
+105
1.35
1.41		2.76
o3¼+100
u3¼-120
o3-130
u3+110
Werder Bremen
Augsburg 		34.2%
40.1%		25.7%
+218
+128
+210
+125
1.29
1.42		2.71
o2¾-102
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+105
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig 		28.2%
47.4%		24.4%
+214
+122
+225
+110
1.21
1.63		2.84
o3-118
u3-102
o3-125
u3+105
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Union Berlin		59.4%
19.6%		21.0%
+103
+280
+105
+271
1
2		-1.36070-1.35085-1.62928
Freiburg
Werder Bremen		45.2%
29.8%		25.1%
+161
+172
+158
+170
1
0		-0.98752-0.98669-0.79509
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		64.1%
16.7%		19.2%
+184
+145
+185
+138
1
2		-0.92269-0.90412-1.78958
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim		21.9%
56.3%		21.8%
+210
+140
+185
+135
4
3		-1.12704-1.09646-1.51905
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		12.8%
70.1%		17.0%
+385
-140
+375
-158
1
1		-1.51923-1.54825-1.77078
Augsburg
RB Leipzig		7.9%
79.1%		13.0%
+550
-193
+507
-210
0
4		-0.41523-0.43872-0.23508
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		16.2%
64.5%		19.3%
+245
+120
+245
+115
0
1		-0.81040-0.80932-0.43869
VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg		23.7%
53.1%		23.2%
+110
+247
+110
+230
2
2		-1.39115-1.38047-1.46171
Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart		55.6%
22.5%		21.8%
+200
+130
+185
+135
1
5		-0.86038-0.89592-1.48992
Wolfsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		23.0%
53.7%		23.3%
+960
-360
+950
-385
3
4		-0.26991-0.27662-0.62174
Borussia Monchengladbach
Eint Frankfurt		44.1%
31.9%		24.0%
+340
-132
+315
-130
0
2		-0.59232-0.61828-1.14360
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		39.6%
34.6%		25.8%
+320
-118
+325
-120
1
2		-0.64278-0.65589-1.06187
Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen		85.6%
4.9%		9.5%
-335
+840
-320
+800
5
0		-0.29584-0.31301-0.15565
Mainz 05
Augsburg		31.3%
43.6%		25.1%
+204
+138
+191
+140
3
2		-1.14219-1.11085-1.16229
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05		36.0%
38.0%		25.9%
+237
+121
+240
+113
2
1		-1.23784-1.26805-1.02057
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hoffenheim		54.0%
23.5%		22.4%
-225
+550
-225
+550
4
1		-0.39215-0.40197-0.61552
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43206 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.44498 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78719
-0.35513
-0.34221

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.