German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Augsburg
Dortmund 		10.4%
74.5%		15.0%
+577
-226
+570
-235
0.91
2.67		3.58
o3-119
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		62.1%
17.8%		20.1%
-179
+429
-160
+415
2.14
1.06		3.20
o3½-105
u3½-115
o3½+100
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		40.7%
33.4%		25.8%
+555
-216
+500
-205
1.42
1.26		2.68
o3¼-112
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin		82.3%
6.3%		11.4%
-465
+1275
-480
+1120
2
2		-2.00211-2.03930-2.16954
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim		59.9%
19.3%		20.7%
+141
+173
+140
+170
1
3		-1.03753-1.04222-1.64284
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen		54.9%
22.2%		22.8%
+228
+118
+215
+120
1
2		-0.81405-0.82986-1.50341
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg		26.1%
50.1%		23.9%
+144
+176
+135
+180
3
2		-0.92669-0.90057-1.34465
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		12.8%
70.1%		17.0%
+900
-365
+950
-410
0
3		-0.27686-0.25467-0.35461
Freiburg
Union Berlin		38.0%
35.2%		26.8%
+187
+173
+180
+167
0
0		-1.17247-1.19538-1.31837
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05		36.0%
38.0%		25.9%
+295
-110
+293
-110
1
1		-1.39574-1.37362-1.35031
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig		12.5%
70.7%		16.8%
+227
+114
+225
+115
1
3		-0.79509-0.80625-0.34655
Dortmund
Augsburg		67.3%
14.7%		18.0%
-176
+490
-179
+450
1
0		-0.48033-0.49083-0.39607
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		21.7%
56.6%		21.7%
+241
+112
+290
+110
1
2		-0.78603-0.74480-0.56853
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		16.6%
63.5%		19.9%
+295
+100
+290
+100
0
2		-0.71775-0.72307-0.45487
FC Koln
Dortmund		10.2%
75.5%		14.3%
+675
-247
+695
-255
0
1		-0.37256-0.36661-0.28140
RB Leipzig
Augsburg		73.1%
11.1%		15.9%
+111
+235
+105
+233
6
0		-0.78102-0.76458-0.31400
Bayern Munich
Borussia Monchengladbach		67.5%
14.6%		17.9%
-410
+970
-485
+1125
3
0		-0.25114-0.23314-0.39331
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen		39.0%
34.8%		26.1%
+206
+135
+205
+131
0
1		-0.88787-0.88663-1.05495
Eint Frankfurt
Freiburg		38.5%
36.0%		25.4%
+178
+152
+170
+150
2
2		-1.32479-1.33815-1.36889
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.