German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 11, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg 		50.4%
25.4%		24.2%
+150
+178

1.67
1.12		2.79
o2¾-112
u2¾-105

Games for Apr 10, 2025
Games for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg		16.4%
63.7%		19.9%
+267
+104
+250
+105
4
2		-1.32238-1.29916-1.80905
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern Munich		5.2%
84.9%		9.9%
+880
-315
+820
-325
0
4		-0.29169-0.30238-0.16397
Eint Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		20.4%
59.1%		20.6%
+555
-210
+535
-215
1
2		-0.41911-0.41740-0.52631
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05		74.6%
10.2%		15.2%
-113
+315
-115
+300
2
0		-0.65516-0.66680-0.29362
Augsburg
Freiburg		21.8%
55.7%		22.5%
+450
-150
+450
-155
1
3		-0.53055-0.53375-0.58510
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart		35.9%
38.6%		25.5%
+650
-285
+675
-310
1
1		-1.86562-1.86717-1.36692
Bayern Munich
Eint Frankfurt		76.6%
9.6%		13.8%
-180
+465
-190
+480
3
3		-1.62913-1.60390-1.98094
Dortmund
Union Berlin		59.4%
19.6%		21.0%
+103
+280
+105
+271
1
2		-1.36070-1.35085-1.62928
Freiburg
Werder Bremen		45.2%
29.8%		25.1%
+161
+172
+158
+170
1
0		-0.98752-0.98669-0.79509
Borussia Monchengladbach
Augsburg		64.1%
16.7%		19.2%
+184
+145
+185
+138
1
2		-0.92269-0.90412-1.78958
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim		21.9%
56.3%		21.8%
+210
+140
+185
+135
4
3		-1.12704-1.09646-1.51905
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		12.8%
70.1%		17.0%
+385
-140
+375
-158
1
1		-1.51923-1.54825-1.77078
Augsburg
RB Leipzig		7.9%
79.1%		13.0%
+550
-193
+507
-210
0
4		-0.41523-0.43872-0.23508
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		16.2%
64.5%		19.3%
+245
+120
+245
+115
0
1		-0.81040-0.80932-0.43869
VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg		23.7%
53.1%		23.2%
+110
+247
+110
+230
2
2		-1.39115-1.38047-1.46171
Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart		55.6%
22.5%		21.8%
+200
+130
+185
+135
1
5		-0.86038-0.89592-1.48992
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.