Milan at Atalanta

Updated

Milan

33.4%22.8%43.8%
Milan WinDrawAtalanta Win
1.39Projected Goals 1.83
3Final Score 2

Atalanta

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Spezia-195
T 1-1 at Juventus+300
W 1-4 vs Cagliari-215
W 1-0 at Sampdoria+110
W 2-0 at Atalanta+170
Atalanta
Money Line
T 2-2 at Inter+275
W 1-2 vs Sassuolo-210
W 1-0 at Salernitana-380
T 0-0 vs Bologna-330
W 2-1 at Torino-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+215-+235+235+242+235+242+260.9
Atalanta+125-+110+115+108+115+115+119.8
Draw+260-+265+265+248+265+265+273.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+235---+220+245+245+260.9
Atalanta+110----105+115+115+119.8
Draw+265---+230+240+240+273.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +251 to +238
Atalanta ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Atalanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +260 to +245
Atalanta ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾-115o2¾-111-o2¾-111o2¾-105
Under-u2¾-105u2¾-109-u2¾-109u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135--o2½-130o2½-145o2¾-105
Underu2½+115--u2½+100u2½+125u2¾+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes63.1%
 
No36.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.00%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 417.89%
Exactly 66.18%
Exactly 81.14%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.88%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 511.52%
Exactly 72.84%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 024.83%
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 311.19%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 016.12%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.33%
Exactly 47.45%
Exactly 52.72%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.53%
Exactly 225.02%
Exactly 44.63%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 312.43%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 052.46%
Exactly 133.84%
Exactly 210.92%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 042.95%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.34%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals13.01%
Wins by 3+ goals4.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals26.20%
Wins by 3+ goals11.75%
Wins by 4+ goals4.36%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Atalanta
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal16.39%
Wins by 2 goals8.42%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals14.45%
Wins by 3 goals7.39%
Wins by 4 goals3.01%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.00%4.00%
1.583.12%16.88%
2.562.39%37.61%
3.540.16%59.84%
4.522.27%77.73%
5.510.75%89.25%
6.54.58%95.42%
7.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.17%24.83%
1.540.59%59.41%
2.516.49%83.51%
3.55.30%94.70%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.88%16.12%
1.554.46%45.54%
2.527.61%72.39%
3.511.28%88.72%
4.53.83%96.17%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.47%22.53%
1.543.89%56.11%
2.518.87%81.13%
3.56.44%93.56%
4.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Atalanta
Score0123456
0
4.00%
7.30%
6.67%
4.06%
1.85%
0.68%
0.21%
1
5.58%
10.18%
9.29%
5.65%
2.58%
0.94%
0.29%
2
3.88%
7.09%
6.47%
3.94%
1.80%
0.66%
0.20%
3
1.80%
3.29%
3.00%
1.83%
0.83%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.63%
1.15%
1.05%
0.64%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.18%
0.32%
0.29%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Milan
1-05.58%
2-03.88%
2-17.09%
3-01.80%
3-13.29%
3-23.00%
4-00.63%
4-11.15%
4-21.05%
4-30.64%
5-00.18%
5-10.32%
5-20.29%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-04.00%
1-110.18%
2-26.47%
3-31.83%
4-40.29%
Atalanta
0-17.30%
0-26.67%
1-29.29%
0-34.06%
1-35.65%
2-33.94%
0-41.85%
1-42.58%
2-41.80%
3-40.83%
0-50.68%
1-50.94%
2-50.66%
3-50.30%
4-50.11%
0-60.21%
1-60.29%
2-60.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Atalanta
Score01234
0
22.53%
19.04%
8.05%
2.27%
0.48%
1
14.54%
12.28%
5.19%
1.46%
0.31%
2
4.69%
3.96%
1.67%
0.47%
0.10%
3
1.01%
0.85%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-014.54%
2-04.69%
2-13.96%
3-01.01%
3-10.85%
3-20.36%
4-00.16%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-022.53%
1-112.28%
2-21.67%
3-30.10%
Atalanta
0-119.04%
0-28.05%
1-25.19%
0-32.27%
1-31.46%
2-30.47%
0-40.48%
1-40.31%