Spezia at Milan

Updated

Spezia

15.2%14.9%69.9%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.36
2Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Spezia
Money Line
W 1-0 at Genoa+260
L 2-1 vs Hellas Verona+240
W 1-0 at Napoli+1100
L 0-2 at Roma+750
T 2-2 vs Sassuolo+215
Milan
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Roma+120
L 1-0 vs Napoli+115
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
W 3-0 at Genoa-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+750-+850+975+964+975+975+1022.6
Milan-295--360-340-388-340-340-293.5
Draw+400-+500+490+485+490+500+505.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Spezia+900----+950+950+1022.6
Milan-330-----350-350-293.5
Draw+440----+460+460+505.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +1012 to +964
Milan ML moved from -335 to -360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Spezia: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Spezia ML moved from +975 to +950
Milan ML moved from -350 to -370

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o3-118o3-122-o3-122o3-112
Under-u3-102u3+102-u3+102u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120--o3-120o3-120o3-112
Underu3+100--u3-110u3+100u3+112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.5%
 
No63.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.62%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 416.08%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.18%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.26%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 059.73%
Exactly 130.78%
Exactly 27.93%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 122.24%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 70.77%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.38%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 310.41%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 078.77%
Exactly 118.79%
Exactly 22.24%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals1.28%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals55.52%
Wins by 3+ goals32.40%
Wins by 4+ goals15.77%
Wins by 5+ goals6.50%
Wins by 6+ goals2.28%
Wins by 7+ goals0.66%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Spezia
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal5.06%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals23.12%
Wins by 3 goals16.62%
Wins by 4 goals9.28%
Wins by 5 goals4.22%
Wins by 6 goals1.61%
Wins by 7 goals0.53%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.38%5.62%
1.578.20%21.80%
2.554.90%45.10%
3.532.56%67.44%
4.516.48%83.52%
5.57.22%92.78%
6.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.27%59.73%
1.59.49%90.51%
2.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.35%31.65%
2.542.06%57.94%
3.521.36%78.64%
4.59.13%90.87%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.62%26.38%
1.538.47%61.53%
2.515.05%84.95%
3.54.64%95.36%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Spezia
Milan
Score012345
0
5.62%
13.29%
15.70%
12.37%
7.31%
3.45%
1
2.90%
6.85%
8.09%
6.37%
3.76%
1.78%
2
0.75%
1.76%
2.08%
1.64%
0.97%
0.46%
3
0.13%
0.30%
0.36%
0.28%
0.17%
0.08%
Spezia
1-02.90%
2-00.75%
2-11.76%
3-00.13%
3-10.30%
3-20.36%
Draw
0-05.62%
1-16.85%
2-22.08%
3-30.28%
Milan
0-113.29%
0-215.70%
1-28.09%
0-312.37%
1-36.37%
2-31.64%
0-47.31%
1-43.76%
2-40.97%
3-40.17%
0-53.45%
1-51.78%
2-50.46%

Correct Score - First Half

Spezia
Milan
Score012345
0
26.38%
28.86%
15.79%
5.76%
1.58%
0.34%
1
6.29%
6.89%
3.77%
1.37%
0.38%
0.08%
2
0.75%
0.82%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Spezia
1-06.29%
2-00.75%
2-10.82%
Draw
0-026.38%
1-16.89%
2-20.45%
Milan
0-128.86%
0-215.79%
1-23.77%
0-35.76%
1-31.37%
2-30.16%
0-41.58%
1-40.38%
0-50.34%