Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated 1 min ago

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Feb 26, 2021

Games for Apr 7, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/06/2025 06:45 PM	Juventus Roma	49.0% 26.5%	24.5%	+218 +152 +211 +155	1 1	-1.16472-1.16703	-1.40609
04/06/2025 04:00 PM	Lazio Atalanta	27.4% 49.3%	23.3%	+455 -150 +440 -145	1 0	-1.74354-1.71613	-1.29558
04/06/2025 01:00 PM	Hellas Verona Torino	42.1% 31.3%	26.6%	+435 -113 +440 -115	1 1	-1.19267-1.19521	-1.32497
04/05/2025 06:45 PM	Fiorentina Milan	16.3% 62.7%	21.0%	+382 -125 +390 -130	2 2	-1.34109-1.34715	-1.56303
04/04/2025 06:45 PM	Udinese Genoa	36.3% 35.3%	28.3%	+259 +145 +248 +150	0 1	-0.91594-0.94796	-1.04001
03/31/2025 06:45 PM	Torino Lazio	11.0% 73.0%	16.0%	+400 -125 +385 -115	1 1	-1.31375-1.28946	-1.83327
03/30/2025 06:45 PM	Milan Napoli	34.6% 37.9%	27.4%	+312 -105 +310 -110	1 2	-0.70122-0.69485	-0.96985
03/30/2025 04:00 PM	Udinese Inter	9.0% 75.3%	15.8%	+750 -225 +775 -230	1 2	-0.39470-0.39395	-0.28421
03/30/2025 01:00 PM	Atalanta Fiorentina	59.3% 19.6%	21.1%	+113 +262 +105 +264	0 1	-1.31744-1.33907	-1.62918
03/29/2025 05:00 PM	Genoa Juventus	6.7% 80.4%	12.9%	+695 -188 +690 -190	0 1	-0.45468-0.46031	-0.21819
03/16/2025 07:45 PM	Inter Atalanta	38.3% 36.3%	25.4%	+188 +163 +185 +160	2 0	-1.08782-1.08960	-0.95988
03/16/2025 05:00 PM	Juventus Fiorentina	64.3% 14.9%	20.8%	+137 +242 +135 +240	0 3	-1.26093-1.27018	-1.90280
03/16/2025 03:00 PM	Cagliari Roma	11.8% 71.9%	16.3%	+650 -200 +610 -210	0 1	-0.43237-0.43905	-0.33016
03/16/2025 02:00 PM	Lazio Bologna	64.0% 16.4%	19.6%	+278 +137 +285 +130	0 5	-0.88804-0.85932	-1.80850
03/15/2025 02:00 PM	Hellas Verona Udinese	34.8% 35.5%	29.7%	+420 -127 +420 -130	1 0	-1.68158-1.69097	-1.05590
03/10/2025 07:45 PM	Udinese Lazio	14.1% 66.0%	19.9%	+395 -117 +425 -120	1 1	-1.28957-1.29452	-1.61420

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	3	0-1-2 (0.333)	0	-1.36698
Sportsbooks	3	0-1-2 (0.333)	0	-1.35946
DRatings	3	0-1-2 (0.333)	0	-1.34221	0.02476 0.01724

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)	26.0	5.8	6.2	84.1	55.9%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)	24.7	5.0	8.3	82.4	40.1%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)	22.0	6.4	9.6	75.7	4.0%	97.5%	2.5%	0.0%
4	Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)	19.5	8.8	9.7	68.2	0.0%	80.7%	18.1%	0.0%
5	Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)	17.8	10.8	9.4	62.7	0.0%	18.4%	74.2%	0.0%
6	Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)	15.6	12.9	9.5	56.3	0.0%	1.9%	46.3%	0.0%
7	Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)	14.2	14.4	9.4	52.1	0.0%	0.3%	10.3%	0.0%
8	Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)	13.4	12.8	11.7	52.1	0.0%	0.7%	12.8%	0.1%
10	Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)	12.6	15.0	10.4	48.2	0.0%	0.0%	2.8%	0.8%
11	Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)	13.1	16.2	8.7	48.0	0.0%	0.0%	4.1%	0.6%
12	Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)	12.8	13.6	11.7	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	7.7%	0.5%
13	Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)	11.5	14.0	12.5	47.1	0.0%	0.0%	1.3%	1.0%
14	Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)	11.0	16.6	10.5	43.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	8.7%
15	Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)	11.9	19.4	6.7	42.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	15.3%
16	Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)	11.1	18.1	8.8	42.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	15.2%
17	Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)	9.8	17.8	10.4	39.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.