Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 28, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milan
Atalanta 		30.2%
45.5%		24.3%
+173
+163
+170
+161
1.28
1.63		2.91
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-115
u2½-102
Games for Feb 26, 2021
Games for Oct 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Juventus
Lazio		46.6%
27.6%		25.8%
+127
+267
+125
+245
0
1		-1.33515-1.28880-1.28656
Bologna
Fiorentina		23.2%
53.1%		23.7%
+190
+190
+190
+180
2
2		-1.09859-1.14454-1.43784
Cagliari
Hellas Verona		24.7%
50.4%		24.9%
+369
+102
+365
+105
2
2		-1.16178-1.18270-1.38882
Roma
Sassuolo		51.4%
25.8%		22.7%
-109
+352
-115
+335
1
0		-0.68556-0.67495-0.66470
Genoa
Torino		34.1%
39.8%		26.0%
+251
+157
+250
+140
1
2		-0.97833-0.91599-0.92022
Inter
Napoli		43.4%
30.3%		26.3%
+122
+270
+130
+244
1
3		-1.33914-1.27751-1.19359
Fiorentina
Milan		16.3%
62.7%		21.0%
+445
-138
+410
-135
1
2		-0.58019-0.59931-0.46662
Lazio
Atalanta		27.4%
49.3%		23.3%
+347
-117
+375
-120
0
0		-1.33693-1.35398-1.45496
Bologna
Cagliari		34.2%
39.8%		26.0%
+108
+305
+115
+315
2
0		-0.76621-0.78292-1.07365
Inter
Roma		47.0%
28.7%		24.3%
+112
+279
+120
+260
1
0		-0.78491-0.83043-0.75424
Napoli
Torino		65.8%
14.9%		19.3%
-120
+435
-123
+420
0
1		-1.71186-1.69451-1.90374
Milan
Juventus		23.4%
52.2%		24.4%
+187
+185
+175
+175
0
0		-1.14197-1.18006-1.41157
Genoa
Napoli		11.3%
71.7%		17.0%
+835
-217
+800
-203
1
2		-0.41379-0.44381-0.33315
Roma
Fiorentina		49.8%
25.9%		24.3%
+151
+215
+145
+206
2
1		-0.95404-0.94246-0.69659
Cagliari
Udinese		27.6%
45.9%		26.4%
+290
+113
+279
+115
1
1		-1.20735-1.19277-1.33071
Torino
Lazio		11.0%
73.0%		16.0%
+320
+108
+370
+105
3
3		-1.18968-1.14319-1.83327
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.