Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 3, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Genoa
Sassuolo 		23.1%
54.4%		22.5%
+229
+147
+225
+146
1.15
1.88		3.03
o2-125
u2+106
o2-115
u2+100
Cagliari
Lazio 		11.2%
72.3%		16.5%
+515
-166
+505
-175
0.87
2.45		3.32
o2½+100
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-115
Games for Feb 26, 2021
Games for Nov 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Milan		28.8%
46.7%		24.5%
+262
+138
+250
+140
0
1		-0.90187-0.91599-0.76128
Inter
Hellas Verona		66.0%
14.3%		19.7%
-276
+850
-245
+650
2
1		-0.34396-0.38484-0.41542
Atalanta
Udinese		65.9%
15.0%		19.1%
-137
+420
-132
+400
0
1		-1.68362-1.64444-1.89832
Sassuolo
Cagliari		45.9%
29.6%		24.6%
+188
+175
+200
+170
2
1		-1.09273-1.12661-0.77916
Torino
Bologna		31.4%
43.5%		25.1%
+435
-126
+410
-125
0
0		-1.27207-1.27482-1.38218
Fiorentina
Inter		11.8%
70.5%		17.7%
+790
-270
+800
-270
0
3		-0.34961-0.35321-0.34961
Udinese
Juventus		8.3%
75.8%		15.8%
+675
-215
+715
-235
1
3		-0.41612-0.40230-0.27643
Milan
Atalanta		30.2%
45.5%		24.3%
+185
+165
+183
+170
1
1		-1.21611-1.20962-1.41367
Juventus
Lazio		46.6%
27.6%		25.8%
+127
+267
+125
+245
0
1		-1.33515-1.28880-1.28656
Bologna
Fiorentina		23.2%
53.1%		23.7%
+190
+190
+190
+180
2
2		-1.09859-1.14454-1.43784
Cagliari
Hellas Verona		24.7%
50.4%		24.9%
+369
+102
+365
+105
2
2		-1.16178-1.18270-1.38882
Roma
Sassuolo		51.4%
25.8%		22.7%
-109
+352
-115
+335
1
0		-0.68556-0.67495-0.66470
Genoa
Torino		34.1%
39.8%		26.0%
+251
+157
+250
+140
1
2		-0.97833-0.91599-0.92022
Inter
Napoli		43.4%
30.3%		26.3%
+122
+270
+130
+244
1
3		-1.33914-1.27751-1.19359
Fiorentina
Milan		16.3%
62.7%		21.0%
+445
-138
+410
-135
1
2		-0.58019-0.59931-0.46662
Lazio
Atalanta		27.4%
49.3%		23.3%
+347
-117
+375
-120
0
0		-1.33693-1.35398-1.45496
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62292 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65042 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58835
0.03457
0.06206

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.