Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mazatlan FC
America 		23.0%
53.7%		23.3%
+1000
-348
+1000
-390
1.09
1.78		2.87
o3-103
u3-112
o3-105
u3-115
PostponedQueretaro
FC Juarez 		31.5%
40.5%		28.0%
+435
-155
+400
-140
1.07
1.26		2.33
o2½+100
u2½-116
o2½+105
u2½-115
Cruz Azul
Toluca 		59.6%
18.7%		21.6%
+239
+122
+235
+120
1.95
0.99		2.94
o3-105
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
Overall Bet Value Active
UNAM
UANL 		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+275
+111
+290
+110
0.97
1.22		2.19
o2¼-113
u2¼-105
o2½+110
u2½-130
Guadalajara
Atlas 		58.4%
17.1%		24.5%
+133
+245
+125
+245
1.63
0.76		2.39
o2¼-126
u2½-125
o2½+105
u2½-125
Games for Apr 18, 2025
Games for Apr 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
America
Queretaro		46.9%
27.2%		25.9%
+250
+112
+265
-105
1
0		-1.26979-1.34289-0.75732
America
Monterrey		33.1%
39.3%		27.7%
+235
+137
+250
+125
1
1		-1.19991-1.19392-1.28547
Monterrey
America		31.6%
41.2%		27.2%
+345
+100
+340
-110
1
2		-0.71785-0.69503-0.88661
America
Cruz Azul		27.4%
46.8%		25.8%
+269
+129
+250
+130
4
3		-1.33953-1.30001-1.29280
Atletico
Monterrey		12.0%
70.1%		17.9%
+433
-160
+425
-170
1
5		-0.52046-0.51395-0.35595
Cruz Azul
America		37.8%
34.6%		27.6%
+210
+167
+190
+180
0
0		-1.12181-1.13330-1.28812
Monterrey
Atletico		62.4%
16.5%		21.0%
+150
+219
+150
+200
1
2		-1.19445-1.14816-1.79987
Atletico
UANL		8.9%
74.7%		16.3%
+710
-261
+650
-250
0
0		-1.70221-1.64781-1.81382
Monterrey
UNAM		27.8%
45.3%		26.8%
+350
-115
+300
-105
5
3		-1.53837-1.43704-1.28024
Tijuana
Cruz Azul		9.9%
73.6%		16.6%
+1200
-415
+1150
-410
0
3		-0.24958-0.26760-0.30678
America
Toluca		53.3%
23.0%		23.7%
+230
+124
+230
+125
2
0		-1.22850-1.23887-0.62942
UNAM
Monterrey		36.6%
34.8%		28.6%
+279
+131
+280
+115
0
1		-0.87125-0.81507-1.05627
UANL
Atletico		68.4%
12.3%		19.3%
+125
+272
+145
+215
0
3		-1.34592-1.19448-2.09297
Cruz Azul
Tijuana		66.8%
13.6%		19.6%
+120
+245
+115
+300
0
3		-1.27204-1.39983-1.99312
Toluca
America		17.1%
62.1%		20.8%
+231
+126
+240
+115
0
2		-0.85003-0.81340-0.47644
Atlas
Tijuana		32.5%
36.9%		30.6%
+328
-106
+310
-110
0
3		-0.69780-0.69485-0.99788
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70241 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61990 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.99371
-0.29130
-0.37381

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.