Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 10, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Necaxa
UNAM 		22.9%
52.2%		24.9%
+235
+116
+250
+105
0.98
1.61		2.59
o2½+100
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-105
Guadalajara
Santos Laguna 		33.0%
39.4%		27.6%
-141
+380
-125
+320
1.14
1.26		2.40
o2¾-115
u3-130
o2½-140
u2½+120
Games for Aug 9, 2025
Games for Aug 11, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
America
Toluca		53.3%
23.0%		23.7%
+230
+124
+230
+125
2
0		-1.22850-1.23887-0.62942
UNAM
Monterrey		36.6%
34.8%		28.6%
+279
+131
+280
+115
0
1		-0.87125-0.81507-1.05627
UANL
Atletico		68.4%
12.3%		19.3%
+125
+272
+145
+215
0
3		-1.34592-1.19448-2.09297
Cruz Azul
Tijuana		66.8%
13.6%		19.6%
+120
+245
+115
+300
0
3		-1.27204-1.39983-1.99312
Toluca
America		17.1%
62.1%		20.8%
+231
+126
+240
+115
0
2		-0.85003-0.81340-0.47644
Atlas
Tijuana		32.5%
36.9%		30.6%
+328
-106
+310
-110
0
3		-0.69780-0.69485-0.99788
America
Tijuana		61.0%
17.0%		22.0%
+143
+200
+145
+190
3
2		-0.91799-0.93019-0.49467
Atlas
Guadalajara		12.7%
66.0%		21.3%
+385
-115
+370
-120
2
1		-1.61104-1.59450-2.06388
Puebla
Tijuana		46.1%
26.0%		27.8%
+500
-186
+515
-200
1
2		-0.46499-0.45334-1.34538
Leon
Monterrey		53.2%
22.4%		24.4%
+537
-194
+510
-195
1
2		-0.45031-0.46245-1.49633
Atlas
Necaxa		17.3%
59.1%		23.6%
+202
+160
+210
+160
0
0		-1.13277-1.11544-1.44392
UANL
Cruz Azul		32.8%
38.3%		28.9%
+345
-117
+335
-110
1
1		-1.33991-1.32204-1.24167
America
Toluca		53.3%
23.0%		23.7%
+138
+197
+140
+190
0
4		-1.12264-1.11085-1.46789
FC Juarez
Pachuca		20.4%
54.3%		25.3%
+590
-200
+560
-210
1
0		-1.94708-1.92573-1.58758
Atletico
Guadalajara		11.0%
71.5%		17.5%
+363
-138
+380
-150
1
0		-1.56700-1.61954-2.20582
UNAM
Mazatlan FC		48.8%
26.2%		25.1%
+112
+274
+115
+250
1
0		-0.78575-0.81362-0.71834
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75473 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.72977 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.88400
-0.12926
-0.15423

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.