Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+252
+108
+250
+105
0.63
2.90		3.53
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o3+120
u3-140
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+550
-194
+510
-190
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾-104
u2¾-115
o2½-140
u2½+120
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+108
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cruz Azul
Queretaro		53.5%
22.6%		23.9%
-105
+337
-110
+320
3
1		-0.70358-0.69709-0.62566
Necaxa
UNAM		22.9%
52.2%		24.9%
+455
-152
+425
-155
2
2		-1.43788-1.42391-1.39127
Atlas
Pachuca		13.0%
64.7%		22.2%
+330
-106
+320
-110
3
4		-0.69675-0.69709-0.43482
Toluca
Guadalajara		16.2%
62.9%		20.9%
+240
+120
+235
+115
2
3		-0.81606-0.81758-0.46434
Puebla
Santos Laguna		21.2%
54.4%		24.4%
+380
-140
+315
-125
0
3		-0.57394-0.63626-0.60864
Tijuana
Cruz Azul		9.9%
73.6%		16.6%
+515
-176
+500
-170
0
1		-0.48224-0.50203-0.30678
Leon
Mazatlan FC		65.2%
15.2%		19.5%
+120
+231
+120
+220
2
2		-1.31479-1.31453-1.63399
UANL
Queretaro		53.1%
21.5%		25.3%
-110
+390
-115
+350
1
1		-1.24136-1.27372-1.37365
FC Juarez
Atlas		42.9%
27.6%		29.5%
+335
-104
+310
-105
1
2		-0.70285-0.71803-1.28757
Pachuca
UNAM		28.8%
42.6%		28.6%
+280
+102
+255
+105
1
3		-0.73771-0.76776-0.85360
America
Necaxa		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
-155
+455
-150
+420
0
0		-1.43305-1.40858-1.29419
Atletico
Monterrey		12.0%
70.1%		17.9%
+540
-185
+500
-200
1
3		-0.46679-0.45495-0.35595
Santos Laguna
Leon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+332
-125
+310
-125
2
3		-0.62235-0.63605-0.49302
Mazatlan FC
Cruz Azul		18.7%
60.1%		21.2%
+482
-192
+490
-200
1
2		-0.46631-0.45541-0.50939
Guadalajara
Tijuana		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%
+205
+145
+190
+150
1
1		-1.24289-1.22984-1.50314
Toluca
Puebla		26.6%
47.1%		26.3%
+100
+258
+105
+235
1
1		-1.41898-1.38330-1.33492
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.