Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+230
+120
+250
+105
0.63
2.90		3.53
o2¾-108
u2¾-112
o3+120
u3-140
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+460
-170
+510
-190
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾-102
u2¾-117
o2½-140
u2½+120
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+108
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
America
FC Juarez		45.7%
27.6%		26.7%
-140
+420
-160
+415
2
0		-0.55720-0.53479-0.78338
Queretaro
Monterrey		21.3%
54.9%		23.7%
+735
-240
+625
-230
1
1		-1.59870-1.58562-1.43767
UANL
Atletico		68.4%
12.3%		19.3%
+142
+205
+135
+220
2
1		-0.91837-0.89465-0.38050
Monterrey
Santos Laguna		31.2%
42.2%		26.6%
+135
+220
+135
+205
2
0		-0.88775-0.90503-1.16379
Guadalajara
UANL		27.1%
44.7%		28.3%
+415
-130
+375
-125
0
1		-0.60556-0.63828-0.80553
Tijuana
Atlas		29.9%
40.1%		30.0%
+216
+146
+230
+150
0
0		-1.19799-1.16771-1.20321
Queretaro
America		20.7%
55.9%		23.4%
+750
-258
+590
-240
0
2		-0.36140-0.39787-0.58166
Mazatlan FC
Toluca		41.3%
33.1%		25.6%
+572
-218
+550
-220
1
4		-0.41133-0.42318-1.10527
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez		52.1%
23.0%		25.0%
+143
+218
+145
+200
0
0		-1.21177-1.21574-1.38774
UNAM
Atletico		66.9%
13.6%		19.5%
+163
+186
+155
+175
1
3		-1.07881-1.06447-1.99370
Necaxa
Puebla		37.0%
33.8%		29.1%
+210
+137
+200
+135
2
1		-1.16520-1.15024-0.99371
UANL
Leon		22.0%
52.4%		25.6%
+193
+152
+195
+150
2
1		-1.10927-1.13202-1.51636
Atlas
Necaxa		17.3%
59.1%		23.6%
+164
+212
+155
+205
1
2		-1.16466-1.16194-0.52577
FC Juarez
UNAM		18.2%
58.3%		23.5%
+452
-164
+450
-170
0
1		-0.51146-0.51099-0.53904
Puebla
Monterrey		22.2%
52.1%		25.6%
+750
-275
+725
-280
0
2		-0.34569-0.35452-0.65112
America
Tijuana		61.0%
17.0%		22.0%
+207
+145
+195
+145
2
0		-1.15356-1.11813-0.49467
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.