Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+230
+115
+225
+115
0.63
2.90		3.53
o3-104
u3-115
o3+110
u3-115
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+450
-170
+460
-170
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾-102
u2¾-117
o2½-130
u2½+115
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+108
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+275
+105
+255
+105
1
1		-1.31267-1.31688-1.30516
Pachuca
Cruz Azul		27.9%
45.0%		27.1%
+246
+110
+220
+115
1
0		-1.27611-1.21345-1.27776
Atletico
Mazatlan FC		18.0%
61.3%		20.8%
+164
+183
+155
+175
1
0		-0.99671-0.98481-1.71674
Toluca
Queretaro		28.0%
46.6%		25.4%
+130
+254
+125
+220
2
2		-1.24545-1.27357-1.37137
UANL
America		38.1%
32.8%		29.0%
+475
-147
+475
-150
0
3		-0.55406-0.55760-1.11325
America
UANL		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+187
+180
+177
+179
1
1		-1.15471-1.21615-1.30708
UNAM
UANL		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+372
-125
+350
-125
1
1		-1.35530-1.34519-1.24078
Atletico
America		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+700
-230
+535
-220
2
0		-2.08490-1.89839-2.15658
UANL
UNAM		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+205
+168
+205
+150
1
0		-1.14889-1.15471-1.08758
America
Atletico		63.5%
16.0%		20.5%
-120
+350
-115
+300
5
0		-0.63059-0.67329-0.45382
UNAM
Guadalajara		34.2%
36.6%		29.1%
+253
+162
+230
+125
0
1		-0.93351-0.86022-1.00468
UANL
Puebla		50.2%
22.3%		27.4%
-106
+315
-110
+290
2
2		-1.37283-1.38725-1.29302
America
Leon		17.2%
61.1%		21.6%
+130
+230
+130
+215
2
2		-1.29839-1.29000-1.53067
Santos Laguna
Leon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+350
-140
+325
-138
2
3		-0.57384-0.59160-0.49302
Mazatlan FC
Santos Laguna		22.5%
54.9%		22.5%
+435
-155
+425
-170
1
2		-0.51228-0.50408-0.59946
Leon
Atletico		78.8%
7.4%		13.7%
+150
+200
+140
+190
2
3		-1.10591-1.10322-2.59964
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.