Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+230
+113
+225
+115
0.63
2.90		3.53
o3-104
u3-115
o3-105
u3-115
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+450
-159
+450
-170
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾-102
u2¾-117
o2½-130
u2½+110
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+108
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Juarez
Leon		10.2%
72.5%		17.3%
+745
-225
+650
-260
1
2		-0.35851-0.37395-0.32223
Puebla
Cruz Azul		17.7%
59.4%		22.9%
+290
-110
+270
-115
2
1		-1.37528-1.35623-1.73296
America
UANL		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+160
+166
+175
+154
0
0		-1.32867-1.33556-1.30708
Guadalajara
UNAM		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+315
-110
+305
+105
0
1		-0.67019-0.71853-0.85621
Monterrey
Queretaro		45.9%
27.9%		26.2%
+156
+175
+155
+255
0
0		-1.30841-1.22149-1.33903
Santos Laguna
Atletico		64.6%
15.6%		19.8%
+181
+131
+175
+140
2
0		-1.06708-1.05085-0.43751
Pachuca
Tijuana		60.5%
16.5%		23.0%
+240
+126
+240
+115
3
2		-1.23429-1.26386-0.50301
Toluca
Mazatlan FC		25.7%
50.6%		23.6%
+112
+222
+115
+205
0
1		-1.19122-1.16334-0.68078
Necaxa
Atlas		50.7%
22.9%		26.5%
+366
-115
+330
-120
0
0		-1.35143-1.34542-1.32935
Santos Laguna
Monterrey		33.9%
39.0%		27.2%
+355
-136
+315
-128
0
3		-0.57939-0.62254-0.94246
Queretaro
FC Juarez		31.5%
40.5%		28.0%
+322
-110
+310
-115
3
0		-1.47399-1.45887-1.15455
Toluca
Santos Laguna		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
+215
+112
+200
+120
1
3		-0.78627-0.83496-0.45747
Mazatlan FC
Necaxa		29.0%
45.8%		25.2%
+168
+155
+175
+151
0
4		-0.97104-0.95933-0.78041
Atlas
UNAM		11.4%
68.3%		20.2%
+340
-115
+320
-120
0
3		-0.65070-0.65514-0.38085
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+205
+145
+200
+140
0
1		-0.93006-0.91864-1.03530
Monterrey
Pachuca		30.4%
41.2%		28.4%
+155
+175
+167
+165
2
0		-0.97061-1.02299-1.19109
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.