Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+228
+112
+225
+115
0.63
2.90		3.53
o3-105
u3-102
o3-110
u3-105
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+440
-150
+435
-160
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾+105
u2¾-118
o2½-130
u2½+110
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+108
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tijuana
America		12.4%
68.7%		18.9%
+750
-275
+800
-300
0
3		-0.34084-0.32211-0.37608
Atletico
UANL		8.9%
74.7%		16.3%
+635
-220
+625
-230
2
2		-1.60336-1.59411-1.81382
Leon
Puebla		64.2%
14.5%		21.3%
-110
+305
-110
+280
4
5		-1.42420-1.37433-1.92971
UANL
Tijuana		65.8%
13.2%		21.0%
+126
+230
+130
+210
0
2		-1.22786-1.17756-2.02768
America
Atletico		63.5%
16.0%		20.5%
-140
+372
-130
+327
1
0		-0.57341-0.61293-0.45382
Santos Laguna
Mazatlan FC		45.5%
29.6%		24.9%
+145
+182
+140
+190
1
3		-1.06575-1.09955-1.21838
Pachuca
Atlas		57.2%
17.4%		25.4%
+210
+145
+220
+145
2
0		-1.16024-1.18656-0.55870
FC Juarez
Cruz Azul		17.2%
60.7%		22.1%
+425
-155
+390
-150
0
2		-0.53253-0.55769-0.49919
Necaxa
Monterrey		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+960
-345
+850
-320
0
3		-0.28884-0.31820-0.75243
UNAM
Leon		20.1%
56.1%		23.8%
+346
-115
+317
-115
1
1		-1.38589-1.37212-1.43443
Puebla
Toluca		38.2%
33.5%		28.2%
+547
-213
+525
-210
1
0		-1.90086-1.87941-0.96139
Guadalajara
Queretaro		47.9%
25.9%		26.2%
+167
+183
+150
+195
2
1		-1.01253-0.95745-0.73570
Atlas
Tijuana		32.5%
36.9%		30.6%
+315
+121
+265
+110
0
2		-0.78047-0.79376-0.99788
FC Juarez
Santos Laguna		20.7%
55.7%		23.6%
+388
-144
+340
-140
1
5		-0.55203-0.58927-0.58533
Atletico
Toluca		24.1%
52.0%		23.9%
+365
-130
+350
-140
1
3		-0.56819-0.57745-0.65368
America
Monterrey		33.1%
39.3%		27.7%
+200
+152
+190
+135
3
0		-1.09617-1.10809-1.10709
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.