Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Juarez
Guadalajara 		20.1%
55.4%		24.5%
+465
-163
+415
-160
0.88
1.65		2.53
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-115
u2½-105
America
UANL 		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+245
+132
+245
+135
0.97
1.40		2.37
o2½+111
u2½-125
o2½+110
u2½-130
Tijuana
Pachuca 		12.1%
68.0%		19.9%
+645
-235
+705
-265
0.71
2.01		2.72
o3-130
u3¼-118
o3-140
u3+120
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul 		28.1%
46.5%		25.4%
+900
-348
+950
-400
1.14
1.53		2.67
o3¼-114
u3½-132
o3-140
u3+120
UNAM
Toluca 		57.3%
19.8%		22.9%
+400
-138
+400
-145
1.81
0.97		2.78
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Toluca		26.2%
46.8%		27.0%
+502
-178
+450
-175
1
4		-0.48098-0.50149-0.76010
Mazatlan FC
Tijuana		49.9%
25.3%		24.8%
+185
+163
+190
+145
0
1		-0.99444-0.94631-1.37294
Leon
UANL		43.6%
28.3%		28.0%
+675
-210
+675
-235
2
2		-1.67798-1.65548-1.27168
Necaxa
Queretaro		39.3%
33.3%		27.4%
+125
+235
+130
+205
0
0		-1.26440-1.28953-1.29295
FC Juarez
Puebla		30.9%
39.7%		29.4%
+233
+125
+220
+120
3
2		-1.22523-1.21073-1.17425
UANL
FC Juarez		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-110
+305
-120
+310
1
0		-0.67729-0.65406-0.65813
Toluca
Santos Laguna		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-180
+460
0
2		-1.76662-1.77284-0.45747
Tijuana
UNAM		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+500
-160
+500
-200
0
1		-0.48978-0.45495-0.33752
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+373
-127
+385
-130
0
1		-0.61626-0.61138-0.80558
America
Necaxa		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+100
+285
-105
+275
1
1		-1.32385-1.34623-1.29419
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+440
-151
+405
-150
0
0		-1.43372-1.43322-1.44367
Atletico
Leon		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+220
+145
+205
+130
0
1		-0.87290-0.86888-0.18336
Pachuca
Puebla		44.2%
26.9%		28.9%
-134
+365
-135
+360
3
2		-0.59151-0.60462-0.81645
Queretaro
Atlas		43.0%
28.4%		28.6%
+485
-150
+430
-155
1
0		-1.80066-1.71619-0.84420
FC Juarez
Monterrey		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+663
-243
+635
-250
2
3		-0.37965-0.38750-0.62642
Necaxa
Mazatlan FC		36.8%
36.4%		26.8%
+280
+102
+250
+110
0
0		-1.31834-1.28884-1.31580
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.28588 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.30052 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.08548
0.20040
0.21505

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.