Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+228
+112
+225
+115
0.63
2.90		3.53
o3-105
u3-102
o3-110
u3-105
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+440
-150
+405
-150
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾+105
u2¾-118
o2½-130
u2½+110
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+108
+260
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UANL
Guadalajara		36.2%
33.7%		30.1%
+158
+208
+155
+184
4
0		-0.96388-0.97798-1.01534
Puebla
Pachuca		20.9%
52.7%		26.4%
+555
-147
+450
-175
1
1		-1.45637-1.52606-1.33287
Leon
Cruz Azul		46.2%
27.8%		26.0%
+225
+156
+240
+120
0
1		-0.92143-0.81083-1.28053
Queretaro
Mazatlan FC		30.2%
44.2%		25.6%
+236
+130
+210
+130
0
3		-0.84770-0.88312-0.81642
UNAM
Necaxa		43.3%
29.6%		27.2%
-116
+311
-125
+326
0
1		-1.43738-1.48877-1.21902
Atletico
FC Juarez		19.5%
57.2%		23.2%
+190
+155
+175
+155
2
3		-0.95774-0.97289-0.55828
Tijuana
Monterrey		12.8%
67.8%		19.4%
+463
-173
+490
-192
1
3		-0.49012-0.46501-0.38862
Atlas
Leon		6.4%
79.1%		14.5%
+400
-118
+360
-125
1
1		-1.31186-1.36653-1.93441
Necaxa
Atletico		56.1%
20.7%		23.1%
+367
-130
+340
-135
0
4		-0.59238-0.60008-1.57277
Monterrey
UNAM		27.8%
45.3%		26.8%
+203
+137
+195
+130
1
0		-1.13417-1.13206-1.28024
Cruz Azul
UANL		30.9%
40.8%		28.3%
+505
-160
+440
-170
1
2		-0.48840-0.51420-0.89744
Tijuana
Queretaro		21.1%
54.7%		24.2%
+277
+110
+250
+125
0
1		-0.76482-0.83076-0.60259
Santos Laguna
America		33.2%
40.0%		26.7%
+685
-262
+625
-235
3
4		-0.34895-0.37886-0.91537
Toluca
Leon		7.9%
78.1%		14.0%
+275
+100
+270
-108
0
1		-0.71988-0.70029-0.24723
Guadalajara
Puebla		45.3%
26.6%		28.1%
+104
+283
+100
+263
2
0		-0.73216-0.74874-0.79288
Pachuca
FC Juarez		45.6%
26.6%		27.8%
+200
+148
+200
+135
1
0		-1.12883-1.15024-0.78487
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.