Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+228
+112
+225
+115
0.63
2.90		3.53
o3-105
u3+100
o3-110
u3+100
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+440
-147
+405
-150
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2½-120
u2¾-118
o2½-130
u2½+110
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+112
+258
+105
+255
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-116
u2½-102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+322
-110
+300
-110
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-106
o2½-120
u2½+100
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Mazatlan FC
Atlas		47.1%
26.4%		26.5%
+418
-138
+420
-153
3
1		-1.66147-1.68881-0.75383
Atletico
Tijuana		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+290
+100
+265
+100
1
2		-0.70917-0.72960-0.87500
Leon
Santos Laguna		52.2%
23.6%		24.1%
+199
+122
+190
+125
2
0		-1.12896-1.11581-0.64932
Puebla
Necaxa		27.0%
45.7%		27.3%
+225
+125
+235
+120
2
1		-1.19869-1.23564-1.30800
Queretaro
Toluca		37.5%
35.4%		27.1%
+440
-155
+400
-165
1
3		-0.51793-0.52498-1.03976
UNAM
Cruz Azul		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+200
+136
+190
+135
4
1		-1.12209-1.10452-1.17490
Atlas
Guadalajara		12.7%
66.0%		21.3%
+219
+157
+210
+145
1
4		-0.97918-0.93565-0.41621
UANL
Pachuca		36.3%
32.8%		30.8%
+140
+198
+145
+184
1
1		-1.30645-1.29773-1.17733
FC Juarez
Monterrey		21.7%
53.4%		24.8%
+607
-209
+600
-214
1
3		-0.41473-0.42664-0.62642
America
Mazatlan FC		44.5%
30.0%		25.6%
-159
+420
-160
+395
2
1		-0.51887-0.53686-0.81076
Tijuana
Santos Laguna		12.0%
69.9%		18.1%
+376
-142
+385
-155
1
2		-0.56210-0.54599-0.35875
Toluca
UANL		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+505
-175
+460
-184
2
2		-1.52065-1.54285-1.63081
Queretaro
UNAM		17.8%
59.7%		22.5%
+324
-110
+330
-120
0
4		-0.67262-0.64986-0.51592
Cruz Azul
Necaxa		45.5%
28.5%		26.1%
+120
+258
+120
+240
3
1		-0.80312-0.82624-0.78814
Pachuca
America		32.6%
38.6%		28.8%
+500
-176
+480
-180
0
4		-0.47613-0.48600-0.95083
Monterrey
Puebla		43.4%
28.6%		28.0%
-134
+389
-130
+335
1
1		-1.42624-1.41124-1.27257
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.