Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Juarez
Guadalajara 		20.1%
55.4%		24.5%
+410
-147
+395
-150
0.88
1.65		2.53
o2½-110
u2½-110
o2½-110
u2½-110
America
UANL 		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+240
+135
+245
+130
0.97
1.40		2.37
o2½-102
u2½-115
o2½+105
u2½-125
Tijuana
Pachuca 		12.1%
68.0%		19.9%
+670
-237
+700
-255
0.71
2.01		2.72
o3¼-102
u3¼-118
o3-130
u3+115
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul 		28.1%
46.5%		25.4%
+1100
-422
+1025
-440
1.14
1.53		2.67
o3½+102
u3½-120
o3-150
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
UNAM
Toluca 		57.3%
19.8%		22.9%
+383
-132
+370
-135
1.81
0.97		2.78
o2½-115
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leon
Guadalajara		50.3%
24.1%		25.6%
+425
-150
+375
-140
0
2		-0.54578-0.58805-1.42391
Puebla
UNAM		18.6%
56.8%		24.5%
+525
-186
+480
-180
0
1		-0.46472-0.49115-0.56556
UANL
Queretaro		53.1%
21.5%		25.3%
-174
+480
-175
+475
0
1		-1.79300-1.79921-1.53596
Atlas
America		13.3%
65.6%		21.0%
+534
-175
+395
-140
0
3		-0.48644-0.58971-0.42115
Cruz Azul
Atletico		69.0%
12.7%		18.2%
-140
+384
-140
+360
1
3		-1.61134-1.57552-2.05980
Toluca
Pachuca		16.6%
61.8%		21.6%
+160
+165
+150
+175
2
2		-1.33003-1.30096-1.53262
Monterrey
Santos Laguna		31.2%
42.2%		26.6%
-190
+520
-170
+450
2
0		-0.45754-0.51099-1.16379
Cruz Azul
Leon		21.2%
55.2%		23.6%
-112
+320
-110
+295
2
1		-0.67270-0.69631-1.55013
Guadalajara
America		33.4%
38.4%		28.2%
+325
+100
+280
+105
0
1		-0.71799-0.76613-0.95597
Tijuana
Toluca		25.2%
49.6%		25.2%
+645
-255
+575
-230
0
4		-0.36625-0.41106-0.70029
UNAM
Necaxa		43.3%
29.6%		27.2%
+125
+252
+130
+225
0
2		-1.27261-1.21049-1.21902
Mazatlan FC
FC Juarez		34.5%
38.1%		27.4%
+200
+173
+200
+150
0
1		-1.00789-0.94338-0.96543
Atletico
UANL		8.9%
74.7%		16.3%
+516
-210
+550
-220
0
1		-0.42356-0.41521-0.29109
Pachuca
Atlas		57.2%
17.4%		25.4%
+199
+166
+190
+160
0
2		-1.00581-0.99661-1.74583
Queretaro
Puebla		30.7%
40.9%		28.4%
+294
+100
+265
+100
1
2		-0.72726-0.74360-0.89475
Necaxa
Santos Laguna		26.0%
49.3%		24.7%
+126
+216
+120
+215
2
3		-1.18662-1.19600-0.70745
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.28588 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.30052 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.08548
0.20040
0.21505

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.