Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+475
-160
+405
-150
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2½-123
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+110
America
Necaxa 		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+105
+298
+110
+245
1.27
1.16		2.43
o2½-118
u2½+100
o2½-120
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul 		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+385
-115
+325
-120
1.05
1.40		2.45
o2½-110
u2½-105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atletico
Leon 		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+220
+145
+205
+130
3.53
o3-105
u3+103
o3-110
u3+100
1st H
25:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Guadalajara
Toluca		54.3%
21.9%		23.8%
+281
+114
+276
+110
1
1		-1.31226-1.33052-1.43431
UANL
Mazatlan FC		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
+105
+283
+105
+280
3
2		-0.73685-0.73255-0.67109
UNAM
America		35.8%
35.6%		28.6%
+384
-131
+350
-140
0
1		-0.58178-0.58727-1.03381
Necaxa
Pachuca		25.5%
48.1%		26.4%
+380
-130
+380
-139
1
1		-1.39050-1.41395-1.33014
FC Juarez
Tijuana		45.8%
26.8%		27.4%
+258
+125
+228
+125
1
5		-0.82867-0.85346-1.31778
Cruz Azul
Atletico		69.0%
12.7%		18.2%
+184
+148
+180
+145
2
1		-1.07417-1.07631-0.37086
Leon
Queretaro		67.0%
13.7%		19.3%
+129
+229
+125
+230
1
1		-1.27877-1.27500-1.64398
Puebla
Atlas		43.1%
26.8%		30.0%
+520
-175
+515
-190
3
2		-1.85170-1.86814-0.84077
Mazatlan FC
Guadalajara		21.8%
54.7%		23.4%
+610
-210
+600
-210
3
1		-1.99510-1.98515-1.52124
Necaxa
Santos Laguna		26.0%
49.3%		24.7%
+575
-228
+575
-205
5
2		-1.94449-1.92573-1.34838
Queretaro
Cruz Azul		16.8%
62.2%		21.1%
+400
-135
+390
-140
3
1		-1.63061-1.63856-1.78576
America
Toluca		53.3%
23.0%		23.7%
+125
+212
+120
+205
1
1		-1.39736-1.39324-1.44143
Monterrey
UANL		25.4%
47.6%		27.0%
+195
+152
+190
+148
0
3		-0.95800-0.95376-0.74274
Tijuana
Leon		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+550
-184
+600
-215
0
1		-0.43944-0.40741-0.20248
Pachuca
Guadalajara		31.1%
39.6%		29.3%
+250
+122
+235
+120
0
0		-1.25780-1.25924-1.22871
America
Queretaro		46.9%
27.2%		25.9%
-144
+395
-140
+355
2
1		-0.55718-0.58212-0.75732
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.19608 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.16040 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.83032
0.36576
0.33008

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.