Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Juarez
Guadalajara 		20.1%
55.4%		24.5%
+410
-147
+395
-150
0.88
1.65		2.53
o2½-110
u2½-110
o2½-110
u2½-110
America
UANL 		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+240
+135
+245
+130
0.97
1.40		2.37
o2½-102
u2½-115
o2½+105
u2½-125
Tijuana
Pachuca 		12.1%
68.0%		19.9%
+729
-248
+700
-255
0.71
2.01		2.72
o3-138
u3¼-114
o3-130
u3+115
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul 		28.1%
46.5%		25.4%
+1100
-435
+1025
-440
1.14
1.53		2.67
o3½+102
u3½-120
o3-150
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
UNAM
Toluca 		57.3%
19.8%		22.9%
+383
-132
+370
-135
1.81
0.97		2.78
o2½-115
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UANL
UNAM		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+270
+106
+260
+105
3
1		-1.34431-1.33094-1.08758
America
Cruz Azul		27.4%
46.8%		25.8%
+203
+146
+220
+140
1
4		-0.93374-0.90276-0.76014
Toluca
Monterrey		17.7%
61.1%		21.2%
+289
-106
+265
-105
2
1		-1.39259-1.34623-1.73404
FC Juarez
Guadalajara		20.1%
55.4%		24.5%
+405
-153
+440
-165
0
5		-0.53715-0.52421-0.59041
Queretaro
Pachuca		20.1%
55.7%		24.3%
+528
-188
+515
-195
1
1		-1.53428-1.53127-1.41564
Leon
Tijuana		77.0%
8.0%		15.0%
+271
+102
+250
+105
1
2		-0.73737-0.76787-2.52410
Puebla
Mazatlan FC		31.0%
41.8%		27.2%
+440
-143
+370
-140
1
1		-1.38091-1.41215-1.30217
Atlas
Atletico		34.2%
36.0%		29.8%
+182
+166
+185
+155
1
2		-1.00698-0.98556-1.02229
Atletico
Toluca		24.1%
52.0%		23.9%
+505
-197
+560
-230
1
2		-0.44679-0.41029-0.65368
Puebla
America		21.6%
53.1%		25.2%
+750
-260
+515
-230
1
0		-2.17463-1.86704-1.53174
Guadalajara
UANL		27.1%
44.7%		28.3%
+276
+110
+255
+110
1
1		-1.26146-1.27447-1.26404
UNAM
Atlas		61.1%
15.5%		23.4%
+168
+205
+160
+200
1
2		-1.14889-1.14863-1.86601
Santos Laguna
Leon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+595
-205
+515
-190
1
1		-1.55377-1.50774-1.54632
FC Juarez
Necaxa		26.6%
47.0%		26.3%
+227
+122
+225
+120
0
3		-0.83248-0.83529-0.75402
Monterrey
Tijuana		60.0%
17.5%		22.4%
+126
+215
+125
+210
2
2		-1.32603-1.31453-1.49415
Pachuca
Mazatlan FC		44.6%
28.9%		26.4%
+143
+220
+145
+205
0
3		-1.19620-1.16254-1.23998
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.28588 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.30052 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.08548
0.20040
0.21505

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.