Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		62.9%
15.6%		21.5%
+140
+206
+160
+175
1.91
0.83		2.74
o2½-107
u2½-112
o2½-115
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+1050
-409
+1075
-485
1.13
1.33		2.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		26.2%
46.8%		27.0%
+700
-265
+705
-285
0.98
1.40		2.38
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o3+120
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tijuana
Leon 		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+298
-110
+285
-110
0.61
2.71		3.32
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		33.5%
38.4%		28.0%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.12
1.22		2.34
o2¾+105
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Juarez
Atletico		48.3%
25.8%		25.9%
+217
+135
+245
+120
0
1		-0.88892-0.83924-1.35584
Queretaro
UANL		16.1%
61.5%		22.4%
+925
-300
+785
-310
0
2		-0.32158-0.32924-0.48607
Santos Laguna
Monterrey		33.9%
39.0%		27.2%
+1100
-400
+1000
-400
2
4		-0.25740-0.27279-0.94246
Atletico
Atlas		29.0%
42.4%		28.6%
+254
+114
+250
+110
1
3		-0.79569-0.79239-0.85875
Puebla
Queretaro		33.0%
38.0%		29.0%
+230
+138
+225
+130
0
2		-0.90217-0.88187-0.96714
Guadalajara
UNAM		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+150
+225
+135
+235
1
0		-0.95021-0.89509-1.22041
Tijuana
Leon		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+381
-144
+370
-150
1
2		-0.56179-0.56044-0.20248
Toluca
America		17.1%
62.1%		20.8%
+235
+110
+250
+100
0
3		-0.77579-0.74421-0.47644
Pachuca
FC Juarez		45.6%
26.6%		27.8%
+115
+261
+105
+255
2
2		-1.29455-1.31688-1.27959
UANL
Necaxa		45.6%
27.1%		27.4%
+174
+158
+165
+155
2
1		-1.04166-1.02449-0.78614
Cruz Azul
Mazatlan FC		51.0%
25.0%		24.0%
-144
+435
-145
+410
1
1		-1.38617-1.38482-1.42845
Guadalajara
Atletico		64.2%
15.2%		20.6%
-102
+295
+100
+275
1
3		-1.40899-1.36897-1.88480
Queretaro
Toluca		37.5%
35.4%		27.1%
+950
-345
+925
-385
0
5		-0.28094-0.28101-1.03976
Puebla
Pachuca		20.9%
52.7%		26.4%
+520
-185
+575
-215
1
2		-0.46667-0.43117-0.63970
UNAM
Tijuana		64.3%
14.5%		21.2%
+245
+115
+280
+110
2
4		-0.79255-0.75892-1.92916
Monterrey
Mazatlan FC		43.5%
30.7%		25.8%
-110
+360
-115
+335
0
1		-1.54867-1.51941-1.18000
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.26672
0.03659
0.04040

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.