Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlas
Queretaro 		22.1%
51.7%		26.2%
+135
+223
+130
+225
0.87
1.50		2.37
o2¼-122
u2½-130
o2½+110
u2½-130
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey 		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+815
-280
+790
-300
1.09
1.75		2.84
o2¾-122
u3-130
o3+110
u3-130
Games for Aug 16, 2025
Games for Aug 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Puebla		20.9%
51.5%		27.5%
+140
+210
+135
+205
2
1		-0.90912-0.90503-1.56337
Tijuana
Atletico		33.6%
38.4%		28.0%
+192
+140
+205
+135
1
1		-1.34723-1.33173-1.27343
America
UANL		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+239
+120
+275
+105
0
1		-0.82230-0.76529-0.75922
Mazatlan FC
Toluca		41.3%
33.1%		25.6%
+1050
-415
+1000
-330
0
3		-0.24992-0.28288-1.10527
Monterrey
Necaxa		38.2%
34.2%		27.6%
+165
+172
+160
+175
1
0		-1.00884-0.99290-0.96307
UNAM
FC Juarez		49.7%
24.0%		26.3%
+125
+225
+120
+230
2
1		-0.84574-0.83884-0.69904
Tijuana
Cruz Azul		9.9%
73.6%		16.6%
+650
-235
+650
-240
0
3		-0.38995-0.39686-0.30678
Leon
Puebla		64.2%
14.5%		21.3%
+133
+199
+125
+200
2
2		-1.33766-1.34519-1.54830
Atletico
Pachuca		11.3%
70.3%		18.4%
+350
-130
+350
-125
0
2		-0.60256-0.62140-0.35270
Guadalajara
Queretaro		47.9%
25.9%		26.2%
+115
+275
+105
+280
2
0		-0.79969-0.77044-0.73570
Santos Laguna
Atlas		59.2%
17.6%		23.2%
+370
-128
+365
-130
0
1		-0.61199-0.61984-1.73591
Cruz Azul
Monterrey		38.6%
33.8%		27.6%
+255
+120
+255
+115
4
0		-1.30026-1.31557-0.95104
FC Juarez
Toluca		37.8%
34.4%		27.8%
+665
-240
+625
-240
2
3		-0.38234-0.39509-1.06650
UNAM
Santos Laguna		35.5%
36.4%		28.1%
+102
+289
+100
+280
1
1		-1.29609-1.29000-1.27083
Puebla
Necaxa		27.0%
45.7%		27.3%
+255
+104
+260
+100
1
4		-0.74739-0.74007-0.78393
Pachuca
Leon		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+120
+228
+110
+230
0
0		-1.32358-1.35662-1.45620
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks51-3-1 (0.300)0-1.34591 
Sportsbooks51-3-1 (0.300)0-1.34465 
DRatings51-3-1 (0.300)0-1.45990
-0.11400
-0.11525

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.