Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+390
-145
+375
-145
0.70
2.18		2.88
o2¾-122
u2¾+103
o3+105
u3-125
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-175
+450
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-110
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-108
+295
-110
+295
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-135
u2½+115
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Guadalajara
Leon		18.2%
59.0%		22.8%
+345
-110
+328
+100
2
1		-1.52657-1.47718-1.70628
Queretaro
Santos Laguna		20.3%
57.1%		22.6%
+440
-150
+390
-145
2
0		-1.71502-1.62602-1.59578
Necaxa
Toluca		45.5%
28.9%		25.6%
+425
-160
+505
-170
0
0		-1.50530-1.52106-1.36266
Cruz Azul
Atlas		63.5%
14.6%		21.9%
+335
+100
+295
-104
0
2		-0.70863-0.72126-1.92353
Puebla
UANL		16.9%
58.5%		24.5%
+565
-205
+580
-195
1
1		-1.59899-1.55462-1.40458
Monterrey
Atletico		62.4%
16.5%		21.0%
+108
+265
+105
+265
1
1		-1.30682-1.29916-1.55836
UNAM
Tijuana		64.3%
14.5%		21.2%
+269
+105
+240
+105
3
2		-1.32803-1.27465-0.44136
Pachuca
Mazatlan FC		44.6%
28.9%		26.4%
+105
+270
+100
+270
1
1		-1.35012-1.36790-1.33063
FC Juarez
America		21.1%
54.6%		24.2%
+645
-215
+615
-235
2
1		-2.02480-2.00760-1.55410
UANL
Guadalajara		36.2%
33.7%		30.1%
+212
+167
+210
+160
3
2		-1.16050-1.16075-1.01534
Guadalajara
UANL		27.1%
44.7%		28.3%
+457
-115
+370
-118
0
0		-1.23227-1.27079-1.26404
Guadalajara
America		33.4%
38.4%		28.2%
+379
-125
+380
-137
3
1		-1.58577-1.61119-1.09733
UANL
Monterrey		38.9%
32.1%		29.0%
+300
+112
+300
+110
1
0		-1.41618-1.41511-0.94425
America
Guadalajara		30.9%
41.5%		27.6%
+145
+219
+125
+225
1
0		-0.91604-0.85207-1.17335
Monterrey
UANL		25.4%
47.6%		27.0%
+203
+183
+190
+165
1
1		-1.12856-1.16398-1.30978
Atlas
Guadalajara		12.7%
66.0%		21.3%
+245
+125
+220
+135
0
1		-0.82679-0.88860-0.41621
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06168 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06493 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.93170
0.12998
0.13323

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.