Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+425
-157
+375
-145
0.70
2.18		2.88
o3+104
u3-122
o3+105
u3-125
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-175
+450
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-110
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-108
+295
-110
+295
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-135
u2½+115
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UANL
Toluca		59.4%
18.0%		22.7%
+323
-115
+280
+100
1
3		-0.65051-0.71912-1.71719
Atletico
America		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+800
-291
+725
-300
2
1		-2.22267-2.15727-2.15658
Santos Laguna
Monterrey		33.9%
39.0%		27.2%
+480
-168
+425
-170
0
2		-0.49024-0.50891-0.94246
Toluca
UANL		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+275
+105
+260
+103
1
4		-0.74018-0.75143-0.39689
Guadalajara
Atlas		58.4%
17.1%		24.5%
+188
+178
+190
+167
0
1		-1.04364-1.01344-1.76486
America
Atletico		63.5%
16.0%		20.5%
-150
+435
-154
+405
3
1		-0.53011-0.54466-0.45382
Monterrey
Santos Laguna		31.2%
42.2%		26.6%
+103
+268
+100
+260
0
0		-1.36798-1.37512-1.32426
Puebla
UANL		16.9%
58.5%		24.5%
+653
-230
+610
-240
0
1		-0.38106-0.39787-0.53599
Atletico
Leon		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+515
-175
+480
-184
3
1		-1.83986-1.80685-2.91563
Santos Laguna
Pachuca		31.9%
40.1%		27.9%
+444
-161
+420
-170
4
2		-1.71886-1.69920-1.14134
Atlas
Cruz Azul		10.7%
70.6%		18.7%
+272
+115
+285
+113
1
0		-1.34827-1.37113-2.23586
UANL
Leon		22.0%
52.4%		25.6%
+326
-117
+315
-110
0
3		-0.64443-0.68177-0.64579
Pachuca
Queretaro		46.9%
26.2%		26.9%
-110
+312
-103
+275
1
0		-0.66738-0.72538-0.75762
Necaxa
Toluca		45.5%
28.9%		25.6%
+575
-220
+560
-230
0
3		-0.39598-0.41225-1.24005
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul		28.1%
46.5%		25.4%
+274
+102
+250
+100
2
3		-0.73178-0.74421-0.76595
Mazatlan FC
Guadalajara		21.8%
54.7%		23.4%
+875
-286
+780
-275
1
4		-0.32484-0.34869-0.60278
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06168 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06493 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.93170
0.12998
0.13323

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.