Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez 		46.7%
27.2%		26.1%


1.47
1.06		2.53


Atletico
Queretaro 		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%


0.98
1.82		2.80


Guadalajara
Tijuana 		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%


1.84
0.82		2.66


Games for Aug 21, 2025
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Toluca
Atletico		42.8%
31.1%		26.1%
-120
+300
-125
+300
5
1		-0.63377-0.63605-0.84873
FC Juarez
Mazatlan FC		30.6%
43.1%		26.3%
+250
+110
+250
+100
2
0		-1.27550-1.30383-1.18551
Tijuana
FC Juarez		20.6%
54.6%		24.8%
+220
+140
+200
+140
1
0		-1.18117-1.14599-1.58124
Leon
UNAM		47.2%
26.3%		26.4%
+273
+100
+250
-105
0
1		-0.71609-0.71885-1.33454
Atletico
Atlas		29.0%
42.4%		28.6%
+195
+140
+220
+135
1
2		-0.90686-0.87789-0.85875
UANL
Monterrey		38.9%
32.1%		29.0%
+261
+120
+245
+115
3
3		-1.28013-1.27168-1.23760
Toluca
America		17.1%
62.1%		20.8%
+370
-131
+360
-135
1
5		-0.60285-0.60144-0.47644
Guadalajara
Pachuca		32.1%
38.6%		29.3%
+250
+110
+220
+115
1
0		-1.28728-1.21345-1.13628
Cruz Azul
Puebla		50.8%
23.5%		25.8%
-215
+556
-210
+505
1
0		-0.41632-0.43925-0.67765
Santos Laguna
Necaxa		40.1%
33.2%		26.7%
+295
+110
+260
+105
0
2		-0.76014-0.76787-1.10404
Mazatlan FC
Queretaro		35.5%
37.8%		26.7%
+300
-108
+300
-115
2
0		-1.42089-1.43658-1.03688
Atlas
Toluca		26.2%
46.8%		27.0%
+595
-210
+560
-215
1
4		-0.41658-0.43211-0.76010
Monterrey
Cruz Azul		26.7%
47.6%		25.7%
+290
-102
+265
+100
1
2		-0.71801-0.74360-0.74215
America
Santos Laguna		32.0%
41.3%		26.7%
-150
+448
-140
+375
1
1		-1.45543-1.41001-1.32171
Puebla
Guadalajara		20.5%
53.9%		25.6%
+779
-300
+750
-240
2
3		-0.32323-0.35365-0.61815
Pachuca
UANL		26.4%
44.7%		28.9%
+177
+150
+220
+150
3
0		-1.05323-1.14952-1.33177
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77885 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77554 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99004
-0.21118
-0.21450

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.