Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez 		46.7%
27.2%		26.1%
+310
-117

1.47
1.06		2.53
o2¾-102
u2¾-118

Atletico
Queretaro 		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%
+140
+205

0.98
1.82		2.80
o2½-115
u2½-102

Guadalajara
Tijuana 		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%
+155
+175

1.84
0.82		2.66
o2½-140
u2¾-111

Games for Aug 21, 2025
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Queretaro
Leon		9.9%
73.8%		16.3%
+330
-112
+310
-115
2
0		-1.48926-1.45543-2.31608
Necaxa
Tijuana		53.7%
21.8%		24.4%
+358
-120
+320
-125
3
2		-1.54169-1.48709-0.62153
UNAM
Mazatlan FC		48.8%
26.2%		25.1%
+182
+150
+170
+150
4
0		-1.07163-1.04401-0.71834
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez		46.7%
27.2%		26.1%
+220
+125
+205
+130
1
2		-0.84506-0.88015-1.30376
Leon
Necaxa		60.0%
18.0%		22.0%
+152
+181
+155
+170
2
1		-0.95805-0.98321-0.51148
Queretaro
Atlas		43.0%
28.4%		28.6%
+280
+107
+270
+110
3
2		-1.37046-1.35662-0.84420
Cruz Azul
UNAM		33.5%
38.4%		28.0%
+125
+220
+120
+215
0
0		-1.31505-1.32950-1.27189
Guadalajara
Monterrey		34.0%
37.4%		28.6%
+403
-132
+330
-120
2
0		-1.64589-1.50928-1.07946
Toluca
Pachuca		16.6%
61.8%		21.6%
+207
+130
+190
+135
3
2		-1.14851-1.11544-1.79541
Tijuana
Mazatlan FC		19.0%
58.9%		22.1%
+195
+133
+205
+125
0
2		-0.88013-0.85982-0.52946
Atletico
America		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+560
-190
+550
-210
1
2		-0.44666-0.42829-0.34194
UANL
Puebla		50.2%
22.3%		27.4%
-125
+355
-120
+315
3
2		-0.61280-0.65452-0.68834
Puebla
FC Juarez		32.0%
38.1%		29.9%
+270
+100
+240
+105
3
4		-0.72272-0.76873-0.96540
Pachuca
Atletico		62.9%
15.6%		21.5%
+115
+266
+125
+250
1
2		-1.30247-1.24960-1.86047
UNAM
Toluca		57.3%
19.8%		22.9%
+346
-120
+335
-130
0
3		-0.62562-0.62077-1.61893
Monterrey
Atlas		56.9%
18.6%		24.6%
+108
+280
+115
+245
2
1		-0.76641-0.81340-0.56442
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77885 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77554 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99004
-0.21118
-0.21450

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.