Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+480
-160
+415
-160
0.70
2.18		2.88
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-175
+450
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-108
+295
-110
+295
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-135
u2½+115
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UNAM
Monterrey		36.6%
34.8%		28.6%
+381
-137
+376
-145
1
4		-0.56911-0.56650-1.05627
Atlas
Atletico		34.2%
36.0%		29.8%
+170
+183
+157
+170
0
0		-1.25183-1.28652-1.21140
Tijuana
Puebla		20.0%
54.8%		25.2%
+224
+120
+220
+110
2
5		-0.81446-0.79248-0.60210
America
FC Juarez		45.7%
27.6%		26.7%
-150
+440
-140
+395
1
0		-0.53950-0.57991-0.78338
Queretaro
Santos Laguna		20.3%
57.1%		22.6%
+442
-159
+475
-180
2
0		-1.71147-1.79234-1.59578
FC Juarez
Toluca		37.8%
34.4%		27.8%
+505
-179
+495
-185
1
1		-1.51517-1.50715-1.28010
UNAM
America		35.8%
35.6%		28.6%
+469
-165
+450
-170
1
1		-1.58353-1.57147-1.25148
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+256
+127
+245
+125
1
2		-0.83522-0.84151-1.03530
Atletico
Pachuca		11.3%
70.3%		18.4%
+387
-130
+475
-145
1
2		-0.58785-0.53413-0.35270
Leon
Tijuana		77.0%
8.0%		15.0%
+225
+120
+205
+125
0
0		-1.36399-1.35004-1.89759
Monterrey
Mazatlan FC		43.5%
30.7%		25.8%
-182
+532
-200
+485
2
0		-0.45594-0.45634-0.83342
Atlas
Necaxa		17.3%
59.1%		23.6%
+116
+263
+115
+239
3
1		-0.79005-0.81027-1.75562
Santos Laguna
Monterrey		33.9%
39.0%		27.2%
+460
-172
+485
-193
2
1		-1.75210-1.80795-1.08297
UANL
Queretaro		53.1%
21.5%		25.3%
-114
+365
-115
+350
0
0		-1.30612-1.32328-1.37365
Toluca
UNAM		14.6%
65.6%		19.8%
+135
+190
+130
+210
1
3		-1.08984-1.15865-0.42158
America
Cruz Azul		27.4%
46.8%		25.8%
+115
+252
+106
+245
3
1		-0.78121-0.77078-1.29280
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06168 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06493 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.93170
0.12998
0.13323

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.