Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+480
-160
+450
-175
0.70
2.18		2.88
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-180
+460
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-108
+295
-110
+295
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-130
u2½+110
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Guadalajara
Leon		18.2%
59.0%		22.8%
+212
+142
+280
+138
2
0		-1.15709-1.30354-1.70628
Pachuca
Atlas		57.2%
17.4%		25.4%
+135
+213
+135
+215
1
4		-1.17532-1.18384-1.74583
Tijuana
Mazatlan FC		19.0%
58.9%		22.1%
+100
+271
-105
+285
2
1		-0.72532-0.69699-1.65852
Puebla
Necaxa		27.0%
45.7%		27.3%
+271
+115
+290
+115
1
1		-1.26259-1.26001-1.29876
FC Juarez
Atletico		48.3%
25.8%		25.9%
+242
+128
+238
+125
0
2		-0.84898-0.85781-1.35584
Atlas
FC Juarez		21.5%
51.4%		27.0%
+157
+214
+165
+190
1
1		-1.17212-1.16398-1.30848
Pachuca
Santos Laguna		32.3%
39.7%		27.9%
+165
+165
+160
+165
4
1		-1.00212-1.00209-1.12887
Atletico
UNAM		9.8%
73.7%		16.5%
+329
-113
+320
-115
1
3		-0.66033-0.66460-0.30547
Monterrey
America		31.6%
41.2%		27.2%
+290
-107
+285
-110
1
2		-0.69241-0.69563-0.88661
Mazatlan FC
UANL		17.9%
59.9%		22.2%
+1000
-326
+950
-350
2
1		-2.42047-2.39723-1.72048
Cruz Azul
Leon		21.2%
55.2%		23.6%
+257
+108
+260
+105
0
0		-1.33705-1.32339-1.44570
Necaxa
Guadalajara		25.1%
49.1%		25.8%
+366
-125
+360
-132
0
1		-0.61398-0.60269-0.71064
Queretaro
Tijuana		45.8%
27.5%		26.7%
+486
-173
+500
-185
2
1		-1.79679-1.83389-0.78054
Toluca
Puebla		26.6%
47.1%		26.3%
-106
+292
-105
+260
2
1		-0.69017-0.71756-1.32471
UNAM
Queretaro		51.0%
23.6%		25.3%
+155
+186
+150
+182
0
1		-1.08199-1.08432-1.44193
Mazatlan FC
Atletico		52.3%
24.2%		23.6%
+560
-171
+575
-190
1
2		-0.48086-0.46075-1.41981
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06168 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06493 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.93170
0.12998
0.13323

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.