Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 22, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez 		46.7%
27.2%		26.1%
+310
-117

1.47
1.06		2.53
o2¾-102
u2¾-118

Atletico
Queretaro 		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%
+137
+205

0.98
1.82		2.80
o2½-115
u2½-102

Guadalajara
Tijuana 		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%
+155
+175

1.84
0.82		2.66
o2½-140
u2¾-111

Games for Aug 21, 2025
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
America
Guadalajara		30.9%
41.5%		27.6%
+103
+285
+105
+260
0
0		-1.30041-1.30280-1.28732
Mazatlan FC
UANL		17.9%
59.9%		22.2%
+480
-160
+500
-160
1
5		-0.50566-0.51114-0.51281
Puebla
Leon		10.6%
71.2%		18.2%
+493
-190
+450
-190
1
2		-0.45662-0.47359-0.33919
Necaxa
Cruz Azul		21.8%
54.6%		23.6%
+705
-247
+600
-225
2
1		-2.12035-1.99488-1.52390
Santos Laguna
Tijuana		62.2%
16.6%		21.2%
+365
-115
+295
-110
2
2		-1.31834-1.33423-1.55140
FC Juarez
Queretaro		32.7%
39.2%		28.1%
+290
+105
+310
-110
0
1		-0.75215-0.69866-0.93547
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+698
-240
+630
-235
1
2		-0.38297-0.40669-0.64054
Tijuana
UNAM		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+440
-158
+450
-160
3
3		-1.47015-1.42288-1.71225
UANL
America		38.1%
32.8%		29.0%
+390
-125
+355
-120
0
2		-0.61724-0.65201-1.11325
Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna		37.5%
35.4%		27.1%
-125
+352
-110
+285
0
3		-1.54243-1.39707-1.03750
Queretaro
Pachuca		20.1%
55.7%		24.3%
+250
+110
+280
+110
2
1		-1.27550-1.34458-1.60674
Leon
Guadalajara		50.3%
24.1%		25.6%
+300
+100
+295
-105
2
1		-1.40924-1.41597-0.68764
Toluca
FC Juarez		27.3%
46.7%		26.0%
+100
+275
-105
+275
1
1		-1.36442-1.35631-1.34738
Atletico
Necaxa		15.3%
64.6%		20.1%
+168
+172
+170
+165
1
3		-1.03493-1.02407-0.43731
Atlas
Puebla		20.9%
51.5%		27.5%
+125
+223
+125
+215
2
2		-1.30412-1.28884-1.28935
Leon
Tijuana		77.0%
8.0%		15.0%
+208
+132
+205
+125
1
1		-1.30981-1.32980-1.89759
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77885 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77554 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.99004
-0.21118
-0.21450

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.