Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
America
Pachuca 		31.2%
40.5%		28.2%
+163
+172
+155
+170
1.06
1.24		2.30
o2½-116
u2½-102
o2½-120
u2½+100
FC Juarez
Atlas 		42.9%
27.6%		29.5%
+269
+106
+260
+105
1.20
0.90		2.10
o2½-107
u2½-110
o2½-110
u2½-110
Mazatlan FC
Atletico 		52.3%
24.2%		23.6%
+270
+110
+250
+110
1.75
1.12		2.87
o2½+102
u2½-120
o2½+100
u2½-120
Guadalajara
Monterrey 		34.0%
37.4%		28.6%
+308
-105
+300
-110
1.09
1.17		2.26
o2½+102
u2½-118
o2½-105
u2½-115
UNAM
Cruz Azul 		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+443
-141
+410
-145
1.09
1.31		2.40
o2¼-123
u2½-120
o2½+110
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 4, 2025
Games for Apr 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pachuca
Guadalajara		31.1%
39.6%		29.3%
+250
+120
+220
+125
1
2		-0.82225-0.86074-0.92553
Atletico
Monterrey		12.0%
70.1%		17.9%
+785
-275
+725
-270
1
3		-0.34524-0.36476-0.35595
UANL
Leon		22.0%
52.4%		25.6%
+147
+208
+130
+200
0
1		-1.15874-1.14721-0.64579
Toluca
FC Juarez		27.3%
46.7%		26.0%
-110
+292
-115
+285
4
0		-0.68134-0.67548-1.29726
Tijuana
Puebla		20.0%
54.8%		25.2%
+228
+125
+220
+125
0
2		-0.84537-0.86074-0.60210
Mazatlan FC
Necaxa		29.0%
45.8%		25.2%
+520
-175
+480
-155
1
3		-0.48175-0.51602-0.78041
Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna		37.5%
35.4%		27.1%
-220
+590
-225
+560
1
0		-0.40662-0.41857-0.98176
Leon
America		52.4%
23.1%		24.5%
+570
-195
+530
-205
1
1		-1.54646-1.55580-1.40642
Necaxa
Atlas		50.7%
22.9%		26.5%
+163
+180
+190
+140
4
0		-1.00136-1.11480-0.67990
UNAM
Pachuca		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+235
+123
+235
+120
1
2		-0.83651-0.83455-1.02887
Leon
Atletico		78.8%
7.4%		13.7%
+165
+165
+175
+150
2
1		-1.01033-1.06372-0.23780
Monterrey
Queretaro		45.9%
27.9%		26.2%
-120
+350
-125
+345
4
2		-0.63516-0.63709-0.77888
Guadalajara
Toluca		54.3%
21.9%		23.8%
+380
-130
+375
-140
1
2		-0.59689-0.58805-1.51964
Cruz Azul
UANL		30.9%
40.8%		28.3%
+225
+140
+205
+155
1
2		-0.90887-0.98288-0.89744
Puebla
Atlas		43.1%
26.8%		30.0%
+318
+105
+325
-110
2
3		-0.74568-0.69443-1.31621
Necaxa
America		26.4%
48.1%		25.5%
+640
-215
+550
-210
3
2		-2.03592-1.91930-1.33237
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-1-2 (0.333)0-1.18673 
Sportsbooks30-1-2 (0.333)0-1.20118 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.18618
0.00055
0.01500

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.