Upcoming Games for September 29, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Michael McGreevy Hayden Birdsong | 40.0% 60.0% | +108 -118 +105 -114 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+181 | 3.64 4.68 | 8.32 | o8-105 u8-115 o8+100 u8-115 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Aaron Nola Jake Irvin | 56.1% 43.9% | -159 +146 -165 +152 | -1½+101 +1½-121 -1½+100 +1½-116 | 4.63 3.99 | 8.62 | o7½-119 u7½-101 o8+100 u7½+100 | |||
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Ryan Pepiot Quinn Priester | 48.5% 51.5% | -114 +104 -110 +100 | -1½+142 +1½-162 -1½+148 +1½-165 | 4.65 4.81 | 9.46 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-105 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Bailey Falter Clarke Schmidt | 34.4% 65.6% | +161 -176 +172 -175 | +1½-137 -1½+117 +1½-140 -1½+122 | 3.84 5.47 | 9.31 | o8-112 u8-108 o8-115 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Nathan Eovaldi Jack Kochanowicz | 39.3% 60.7% | -152 +139 -150 +145 | -1½+101 +1½-121 -1½+105 +1½-122 | 4.88 6.01 | 10.89 | o8-120 u8+100 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Ryan Weathers Undecided Undecided | 38.3% 61.7% | +135 -142 | +1½-159 -1½+140 | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | o8-105 u8-115 | |||
San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Martin Perez Brandon Pfaadt | 60.3% 39.7% | +169 -185 +165 -180 | +1½-123 -1½+103 +1½-125 -1½+108 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o8½-120 u8½+100 o9+100 u9-120 | |||
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | David Peterson Colin Rea | 42.9% 57.1% | -122 +112 -115 +110 | -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+145 +1½-160 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Anthony Banda Ryan Feltner | 60.8% 39.2% | -138 +127 -134 +129 | -1½+103 +1½-123 -1½+110 +1½-128 | 5.65 4.51 | 10.16 | o11½-105 u11½-115 o11-115 u11+100 | |||
Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Ryan Gusto Nick Sandlin | 55.9% 44.1% | +139 -152 +150 -155 | +1½-157 -1½+137 +1½-150 -1½+132 | 4.38 3.75 | 8.13 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½-110 u7½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Mitch Spence Logan Gilbert | 52.8% 47.2% | +157 -172 +160 -165 | +1½-142 -1½+122 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 5.06 4.76 | 9.82 | o7-115 u7-105 o7-115 u7+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Jonathan Cannon Undecided Undecided | 57.8% 42.2% | +200 -223 | +1½-110 -1½-109 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Albert Suarez Bailey Ober | 39.2% 60.8% | +132 -144 +146 -142 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-150 -1½+142 | 4.68 5.81 | 10.49 | o7½-114 u7½-106 o7½-110 u7½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Hunter Greene Caleb Kilian | 51.6% 48.4% | -106 -104 -107 +100 | -1½+154 +1½-174 -1½+155 +1½-173 | 4.23 4.06 | 8.29 | o7-115 u7-105 o7-115 u7+100 | |||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Alec Marsh Charlie Morton | 38.5% 61.5% | +215 -242 +215 -239 | +1½+100 -1½-120 +1½+100 -1½-117 | 3.96 5.17 | 9.13 | o8-115 u8-105 o8½+100 u8½-120 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics Tampa Bay Rays | 45.0% 55.0% | +151 -165 +155 -165 | +1½-145 -1½+126 +1½-143 -1½+125 | 3 0 | -0.94110-0.95078 | -0.79784 | |
St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds | 40.9% 59.1% | +119 -129 +118 -126 | +1½-172 -1½+155 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 7 1 | -0.80365-0.79542 | -0.89512 | |
Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles | 59.8% 40.2% | +156 -170 +155 -165 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-140 -1½+122 | 8 3 | -0.96006-0.95078 | -0.51333 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers New York Mets | 57.3% 42.7% | -192 +175 -190 +181 | -1½-125 +1½+105 -1½-130 +1½+115 | 5 2 | -0.44021-0.43383 | -0.55710 | |
Houston Astros Seattle Mariners | 55.8% 44.2% | -124 +114 -120 +115 | -1½+140 +1½-159 -1½+139 +1½-155 | 2 3 | -0.78145-0.77596 | -0.81660 | |
Miami Marlins San Diego Padres | 35.1% 64.9% | +172 -188 +181 -190 | +1½-120 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 1 2 | -0.44674-0.43383 | -0.43180 | |
Philadelphia Phillies San Francisco Giants | 42.6% 57.4% | +121 -132 +123 -130 | +1½-173 -1½+153 | 4 8 | -0.58515-0.58410 | -0.55598 | |
Cleveland Indians Colorado Rockies | 47.7% 52.3% | -129 +119 -127 +120 | -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 6 8 | -0.80365-0.80236 | -0.64852 | |
Chicago Cubs Milwaukee Brewers | 38.8% 61.2% | -111 +101 -104 +100 | +1½-210 -1½+195 | 1 5 | -0.72144-0.70289 | -0.49065 | |
St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds | 44.1% 55.9% | +141 -154 +145 -150 | +1½-145 -1½+128 +1½-144 -1½+130 | 1 3 | -0.52140-0.51896 | -0.58146 | |
Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves | 40.8% 59.2% | +191 -212 +189 -200 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½-105 | 8 4 | -1.09103-1.07388 | -0.89668 | |
Kansas City Royals Minnesota Twins | 43.5% 56.5% | +156 -170 +158 -161 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-142 -1½+125 | 5 6 | -0.48268-0.48756 | -0.57038 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Chicago White Sox | 47.1% 52.9% | -202 +183 -200 +185 | -1½-130 +1½+115 -1½-130 +1½+112 | 5 1 | -0.42416-0.42286 | -0.75360 | |
Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles | 59.8% 40.2% | +139 -152 +141 -149 | +1½-142 -1½+125 +1½-144 -1½+130 | 3 11 | -0.52690-0.52675 | -0.91255 | |
Chicago Cubs St. Louis Cardinals | 44.8% 55.2% | +126 -137 +132 -138 | +1½-165 -1½+148 +1½-170 -1½+156 | 3 4 | -0.56840-0.55582 | -0.59468 | |
New York Yankees San Diego Padres | 45.0% 55.0% | -128 +118 -124 +122 | -1½+122 +1½-140 -1½+130 +1½-145 | 2 5 | -0.79924-0.80151 | -0.59724 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.74152 | |
Sportsbooks | 15 | 7-8 (0.467) | 0 | -0.74019 | |
DRatings | 15 | 8-7 (0.533) | 0 | -0.69475 | 0.04677 0.04544 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.