MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Jack Perkins
35.3%
64.7%
+113
-125
+115
-118
+1½-184
-1½+161

3.73
5.26
8.99
o9½-118
u9½+100
o9½-120
u9½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Sean Burke
Jack Kochanowicz
51.7%
48.3%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+160
5.10
4.92
10.02
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Andre Pallante
Dylan Cease
40.2%
59.8%
+167
-185
+167
-184
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
3.67
4.70
8.37
o8+100
u8-120
o8-105
u8-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Jacob deGrom
Logan Evans
41.5%
58.5%
-133
+121
-138
+128
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.95
5.85
10.80
o7½+105
u7½-125
o7½+110
u7½-120
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Charlie Morton
Cristopher Sanchez
39.5%
60.5%
+156
-173
+163
-178
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+112
3.83
4.94
8.77
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-105
u8½-105
Games for Aug 2, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
54.1%
45.9%
-137
+124
-136
+130
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+116
+1½-130
9.27
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+105
6th
TOP
5
1
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
37.0%
63.0%
+129
-142
+140
-142
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
9.69
o8-120
u8½-115
o8-110
u8-105
6th
BOT
1
2
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
New York Mets (60-60)
51.4%
48.6%
+138
-152
+145
-158
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
8.17
o9-104
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+102
6th
TOP
7
2
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
57.1%
42.9%
+134
-146
+150
-160
+1½-149
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
12.41
o8-115
u8-105
o8½+100
u8+100
7th
TOP
4
2
New York Yankees (69-52)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
56.1%
43.9%
-113
+103
-116
+106
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+145
+1½-160
9.32
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½+100
6th
TOP
1
6
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
40.9%
59.1%
+165
-183
+166
-182
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
9.42
o8-104
u8-115
o8+100
u8-110
4th
TOP
2
2
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
39.6%
60.4%
-145
+132
-140
+135
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+103
+1½-120
10.26
o11-110
u11-104
o11-105
u11+100
1st
BOT
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-169
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.95145-0.94595-0.99010
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
+126
-139
+131
-139
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-170
-1½+153
3
5
-0.56577-0.55638-0.73840
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
45.4%
54.6%
-250
+223
-237
+215
-1½-162
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+140
7
1
-0.36008-0.37254-0.78988
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
6
1
-0.58717-0.60404-0.61633
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+140
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
8
2
-0.89968-0.90892-0.78781
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
45.4%
54.6%
-118
+107
-110
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
4
-0.63790-0.65350-0.78880
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
62.2%
37.8%
-109
-101
-108
+100

+1½-220
-1½+195
2
8
-0.71192-0.71219-0.97201
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
47.3%
52.7%
+119
-130
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+156
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59214-0.59012-0.64010
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
49.0%
51.0%
+113
-125
+115
-124
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
2
-0.78086-0.78397-0.71351
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.8%
37.2%
+130
-143
+133
-138
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
2
-0.85590-0.85484-0.46485
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-116
+105
-116
+111
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
8
1
-0.64623-0.63260-0.60417
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+107
-118
+110
-118
+1½-189
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
5
3
-0.75162-0.75927-1.11880
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays
47.6%
52.4%
+101
-111
+100
-108
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+182
6
8
-0.66563-0.67446-0.64573
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.9%
45.1%
+124
-136
+121
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
7
-0.57362-0.58810-0.79584
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.9%
63.1%
+111
-122
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+175
8
7
-0.76990-0.75294-0.99666
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.66227 
Sportsbooks126-6 (0.500)0-0.66440 
DRatings125-7 (0.417)0-0.76785
-0.10558
-0.10345

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.