Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Mitch Keller Nick Martinez | 35.1% 64.9% | +114 -124 +113 -117 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 3.86 5.42 | 9.28 | o9-107 u9-105 o9-105 u9-110 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Jose Berrios Tyler Alexander | 46.1% 53.9% | -111 +101 -110 +103 | -1½+160 +1½-170 | 4.30 4.71 | 9.01 | o8-105 u8-115 o7½-115 u7½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Tyler Holton Corbin Burnes | 46.5% 53.5% | +145 -158 +151 -161 | +1½-145 -1½+128 +1½-145 -1½+131 | 4.28 4.65 | 8.93 | o7½-120 u8-115 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Cristopher Sanchez David Peterson | 47.3% 52.7% | -109 -101 -104 +103 | +1½-230 -1½+205 | 4.12 4.40 | 8.52 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Charlie Morton Valente Bellozo | 48.4% 51.6% | -202 +183 -193 +181 | -1½-132 +1½+115 -1½-125 +1½+110 | 4.27 4.44 | 8.71 | o9-105 u9-115 o8½-120 u8½+105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | David Festa Richard Fitts | 41.5% 58.5% | -116 +106 -112 +109 | -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 4.51 5.40 | 9.91 | o8½-101 u8+100 o8½+100 u8½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | George Kirby Jacob deGrom | 52.2% 47.8% | +111 -121 +112 -117 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 5.39 5.17 | 10.56 | o7-105 u7-110 o7-105 u7-105 | |||
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Zac Gallen Colin Rea | 39.0% 61.0% | -126 +116 -128 +120 | -1½+126 +1½-145 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 3.31 4.46 | 7.77 | o8½-110 u8½-108 o8½-105 u8½-110 | |||
Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tyler Anderson Justin Verlander | 32.3% 67.7% | +214 -240 +225 -245 | +1½+100 -1½-120 +1½+100 -1½-118 | 3.01 4.82 | 7.83 | o8-105 u8-115 o7½-120 u7½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Mason Black Michael Wacha | 57.3% 42.7% | +176 -193 +175 -190 | +1½-120 -1½+110 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 4.62 3.86 | 8.48 | o8½-110 u8½-105 o8½-115 u8½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Ben Lively Kyle Gibson | 49.0% 51.0% | +102 -112 +100 -110 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-211 -1½+185 | 4.49 4.59 | 9.08 | o8-115 u8-104 o8-115 u8-105 | |||
New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Gerrit Cole J.T. Ginn | 53.5% 46.5% | -192 +175 +185 +175 | -1½-115 +1½+100 | 4.60 4.24 | 8.84 | o8-110 u8-108 o8-110 u8-105 | Overall Bet Value Active Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Garrett Crochet Joe Musgrove | 46.4% 53.6% | +233 -264 +221 -245 | +1½+105 -1½-124 +1½+100 -1½-110 | 4.27 4.65 | 8.92 | o7+100 u7-117 o7+105 u7-115 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Kyle Freeland Undecided Undecided | 33.0% 67.0% | +205 -250 +215 -240 | +1½+100 -1½-120 +1½+110 -1½-125 | 4.26 6.02 | 10.28 | o9-105 u9-115 o9+105 u9-115 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Indians Los Angeles Dodgers | 34.1% 65.9% | +133 -145 +133 -138 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+142 | 3 1 | -0.86669-0.85484 | -1.07499 | |
Detroit Tigers Oakland Athletics | 35.8% 64.2% | -150 +138 -149 +144 | -1½+115 +1½-131 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 6 7 | -0.88707-0.90020 | -0.44384 | |
San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres | 49.8% 50.2% | +180 -198 +189 -200 | +1½-120 -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½-102 | 1 5 | -0.43017-0.41806 | -0.68953 | |
Seattle Mariners St. Louis Cardinals | 46.1% 53.9% | -115 +105 -110 +107 | 6 1 | -0.64814-0.65350 | -0.77488 | ||
Arizona Diamondbacks Houston Astros | 32.5% 67.5% | +144 -157 +150 -155 | +1½-156 -1½+136 +1½-150 -1½+131 | 0 8 | -0.51336-0.50566 | -0.39346 | |
Minnesota Twins Kansas City Royals | 50.2% 49.8% | +125 -136 +125 -130 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+158 | 0 5 | -0.57167-0.58016 | -0.69701 | |
Los Angeles Angels Texas Rangers | 54.5% 45.5% | +137 -149 +139 -145 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-145 -1½+135 | 5 1 | -0.88303-0.88150 | -0.60748 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Atlanta Braves | 43.2% 56.8% | +148 -162 +152 -161 | +1½-148 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 1 3 | -0.50206-0.49671 | -0.56616 | |
Chicago White Sox Boston Red Sox | 54.3% 45.7% | +239 -272 +240 -265 | +1½+115 -1½-135 +1½+120 -1½-135 | 1 3 | -0.33893-0.34011 | -0.78296 | |
Philadelphia Phillies Miami Marlins | 51.7% 48.3% | -267 +235 -275 +245 | -1½-153 +1½+135 -1½-155 +1½+136 | 16 2 | -0.34382-0.33308 | -0.65952 | |
Cincinnati Reds New York Mets | 46.6% 53.4% | +147 -160 +153 -160 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+131 | 4 6 | -0.50556-0.49610 | -0.62706 | |
Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles | 61.9% 38.1% | +150 -164 +154 -160 | +1½-148 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 0 2 | -0.49707-0.49456 | -0.96506 | |
Colorado Rockies Milwaukee Brewers | 38.1% 61.9% | +211 -237 +210 -227 | +1½-105 -1½-113 +1½-107 -1½-110 | 3 2 | -1.15913-1.14803 | -0.96438 | |
New York Yankees Chicago Cubs | 56.0% 44.0% | -114 +104 -112 +106 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-155 | 3 0 | -0.65243-0.65174 | -0.58023 | |
Detroit Tigers San Diego Padres | 34.4% 65.6% | +138 -150 +145 -150 | +1½-150 -1½+132 +1½-150 -1½+136 | 4 3 | -0.88707-0.90421 | -1.06819 | |
Los Angeles Angels Texas Rangers | 54.5% 45.5% | +161 -175 +170 -180 | +1½-125 -1½+108 +1½-125 -1½+115 | 1 3 | -0.47130-0.45497 | -0.78684 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 7 | 5-2 (0.714) | 0 | -0.58345 | |
Sportsbooks | 7 | 5-2 (0.714) | 0 | -0.58709 | |
DRatings | 7 | 5-2 (0.714) | 0 | -0.72076 | -0.13731 -0.13367 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.