MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Leiter
Tyler Holton
45.3%
54.7%
+107
-118
+110
-116
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+185
4.69
5.19
9.88
o8½-105
u8½-114
o8½-105
u8+105
Games for May 2, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
42.6%
57.4%
+100
-110
+105
-110

+1½-205
-1½+185
9.42
o7½-115
u8-120
o7½-110
u8-115
FINAL
FINAL
4
1
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
46.4%
53.6%
+140
-155
+158
-157
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
8.92
o8-117
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-115
FINAL
FINAL
3
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
52.8%
47.2%
-107
-103
+106
-105


1
5
-0.70249-0.66668-0.75040
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.9%
47.1%
-147
+133
-150
+140
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+113
+1½-130
9
4
-0.54299-0.52736-0.63609
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+106
-116
+112
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
1
-0.74492-0.77245-0.85090
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+123
-136
+120
-130
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
5
-0.57558-0.59012-0.67303
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
56.3%
43.7%
+120
-132
+125
-130
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+165
9
2
-0.81171-0.82055-0.57533
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
40.2%
59.8%
+117
-129
+122
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+170
6
8
-0.59776-0.58609-0.51443
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
49.1%
50.9%
-108
-102
-110
+105

+1½-230
-1½+200
4
2
-0.67930-0.65817-0.71143
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
37.0%
63.0%
+129
-137
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
2
-0.84318-0.82968-0.99333
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+132
-146
+137
-143
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+150
0
7
-0.54595-0.54058-0.45282
Toronto Blue Jays
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.1%
39.9%
-117
+106
-110
+103
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+158
+1½-165
10
4
-0.64204-0.66291-0.50869
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
41.5%
58.5%
+121
-133
+124
-132
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-178
-1½+175
2
5
-0.58372-0.57921-0.53556
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
49.4%
50.6%
-145
+131
-115
+134
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+143
+1½-125
2
1
-0.54896-0.58720-0.70595
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
48.0%
52.0%
+145
-160
+136
-146
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-150
-1½+135
7
4
-0.91937-0.87575-0.73349
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
60.8%
39.2%
-199
+179
-199
+235
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+158
6
9
-1.04974-1.17234-0.93634
New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
51.1%
48.9%
+123
-136
+124
-132
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+162
1
2
-0.57558-0.57921-0.71550
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
-101
-109
+105
-110
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-190
-1½+180
7
4
-0.71192-0.72940-0.69842
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1810-8 (0.556)0-0.67367 
Sportsbooks1811-7 (0.611)0-0.67138 
DRatings1810-8 (0.556)0-0.66676
0.00691
0.00462

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.