MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Nov 1, 2025
Games for Nov 3, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
56.9%
43.1%
-139
+126
-133
+127
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
1
20
-0.83914-0.83105-0.84158
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
-135
+122
-134
+126
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
11
7
-0.57893-0.57251-0.79627
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+190
-212
+195
-220
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½-105
6
12
-0.41044-0.40084-0.56951
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
61.8%
38.2%
-107
-103
-106
+100
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-160
2
4
-0.70249-0.70761-0.96131
Atlanta Braves
Detroit Tigers
56.5%
43.5%
-103
-107
+105
-106
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+190
10
1
-0.70249-0.72021-0.57102
Oakland Athletics
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.1%
38.9%
+100
-110
-106
+110


4
3
-0.71668-0.65516-0.49194
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
-105
-105
-105
+100

-1½+150
+1½-165
4
7
-0.69315-0.70528-0.54688
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.1%
59.9%
+154
-170
+155
-162
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
1
2
-0.48568-0.49117-0.51218
Los Angeles Angels
Milwaukee Brewers
42.0%
58.0%
+215
-237
+215
-240
+1½+110
-1½-128
+1½+105
-1½-125
2
5
-0.37254-0.37138-0.54547
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
61.8%
38.2%
-200
+180
-187
+185
-1½-127
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
7
0
-0.42898-0.43081-0.48190
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+127
-140
+126
-135
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+150
0
1
-0.56258-0.57111-0.54688
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
49.2%
50.8%
-165
+149
-164
+150
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
9
7
-0.49774-0.49707-0.70863
Seattle Mariners
Kansas City Royals
51.1%
48.9%
-116
+105
-112
+106
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-152
2
0
-0.64623-0.65174-0.67109
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
46.7%
53.3%
+128
-141
+130
-140
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
5
3
-0.84756-0.85085-0.76044
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
46.5%
53.5%
-119
+108
-118
+111
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-150
0
4
-0.75624-0.76179-0.62511
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
39.6%
60.4%
+207
-230
+205
-220
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
1
-1.14413-1.13038-0.92624
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.59066 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.56493 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.64682
-0.05616
-0.08189

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.