MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Feb 4, 2026
Games for Feb 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
47.1%
52.9%
+104
-114
-101
-108
+1½-199
-1½+175

6
3
-0.73560-0.70966-0.75302
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-148
+135
-144
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
6
-0.54007-0.54294-0.65331
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
53.7%
46.3%
+128
-140
+127
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160

2
6
-0.56070-0.57627-0.76942
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+179
-199
+182
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+107
4
6
-0.43083-0.43260-0.71396
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
45.6%
54.4%
-126
+114
-126
+122
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
8
0
-0.60877-0.59220-0.78496
Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds
43.3%
56.7%
+113
-124
+118
-122
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
11
7
-0.77892-0.78755-0.83815
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.7%
46.3%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-174
-1½+160
0
1
-0.56258-0.55953-0.77104
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
42.2%
57.8%
-150
+136
-148
+136
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
6
4
-0.53428-0.53652-0.86363
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.3%
63.7%
+265
-300
+280
-300
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-152
7
8
-0.31137-0.30075-0.45099
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%
-130
+118
-122
+128
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
1
3
-0.80298-0.81225-0.73810
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
45.6%
54.4%
-156
+141
-154
+142
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
3
1
-0.51935-0.51972-0.78496
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
38.6%
61.4%
+141
-154
+135
-149
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
4
-0.52140-0.53715-0.48755
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+121
-133
+124
-128
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
0
-0.81604-0.81428-0.79627
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-170
-1½+155
11
4
-0.84337-0.85085-0.78638
Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds
43.3%
56.7%
-105
-105
+100
-108
-1½+152
+1½-170

5
3
-0.69315-0.71219-0.83815
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
42.2%
57.8%
-138
+125
-137
+128
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
6
2
-0.56900-0.56460-0.86363
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.