MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
45.9%
54.1%
+147
-160
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
9
20
-0.50556-0.50078-0.61356
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.0%
69.0%
+192
-213
+200
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½+110
-1½+100
5
8
-0.40764-0.40546-0.37072
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
51.2%
48.8%
+121
-132
+126
-135
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
0
-0.81423-0.83218-0.66986
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
+120
-130
+123
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.59012-0.60000-0.59968
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-143
+131
-125
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
8
-0.55137-0.57616-0.69732
New York Mets
Houston Astros
40.9%
59.1%
+101
-111
+115
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
1
-0.72144-0.75886-0.89468
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
59.4%
40.6%
-110
+100
-107
-102
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
4
-0.71668-0.70492-0.90162
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
39.7%
60.3%
-126
+116
-126
+125
-1½+130
+1½-149

4
3
-0.60453-0.58621-0.92326
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.0%
67.0%
+112
-122
+115
-123
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
8
-0.61967-0.61153-0.39996
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
37.8%
62.2%
+186
-205
+190
-205
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
2
3
-0.41885-0.41412-0.47435
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+149
-163
+158
-150
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+137
2
4
-0.49956-0.49835-0.75027
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.6%
53.4%
+102
-112
+112
-112
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+195
10
6
-0.72619-0.75141-0.76312
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.7%
70.3%
+148
-161
+148
-150
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
5
-0.50301-0.51405-0.35199
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
45.9%
54.1%
-113
+103
-109
+106
-1½+155
+1½-172
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
5
-0.73091-0.72965-0.61352
New York Mets
Houston Astros
41.1%
58.9%
+100
-110
+105
-114
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
1
3
-0.67015-0.65009-0.52858
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-154
+141
-154
+140
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-125
1
8
-0.90064-0.89818-0.54385
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.