Upcoming Games for October 5, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Undecided Undecided Tanner Bibee | 43.3% 56.7% | +130 -142 +135 -142 | +1½-166 -1½+150 +1½-166 -1½+155 | 3.89 4.59 | 8.48 | o7-115 u7-105 o7-115 u7+100 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Undecided Undecided Zack Wheeler | 46.4% 53.6% | +162 -177 +175 -186 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+118 | 4.19 4.57 | 8.76 | o7½+105 u7+100 o7-115 u7+100 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) New York Yankees (69-52) | Michael Wacha Gerrit Cole | 31.7% 68.3% | +179 -197 +181 -190 | +1½-126 -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+112 | 3.30 5.18 | 8.48 | o8+100 u7½+100 o7½-120 u8-115 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Dylan Cease Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 36.0% 64.0% | +118 -128 +120 -124 | +1½-183 -1½+163 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 3.73 5.19 | 8.92 | o7½-114 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½+105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs | 55.0% 45.0% | +165 -190 +175 -190 | +1½+100 -1½-120 +1½+110 -1½-125 | 7 4 | -1.00657-1.03022 | -0.59738 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Oakland Athletics | 43.1% 56.9% | +135 -155 +130 -140 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 5 11 | -0.53067-0.55696 | -0.56442 | |
| Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals | 44.1% 55.9% | -130 +110 -130 +125 | -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+105 +1½-120 | 1 1 | -0.69681-0.70035 | -0.70013 | |
| Houston Astros New York Mets | 52.9% 47.1% | -190 +165 -185 +170 | -1½-130 +1½+110 -1½-120 +1½+100 | 13 5 | -0.45487-0.45144 | -0.63769 | |
| Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays | 45.4% 54.6% | +145 -165 +155 -170 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 1 5 | -0.50411-0.48418 | -0.60580 | |
| New York Mets New York Yankees | 42.0% 58.0% | +130 -150 +140 -150 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 3 5 | -0.54502-0.52736 | -0.54483 | |
| Detroit Tigers Philadelphia Phillies | 39.5% 60.5% | -105 -115 -110 -110 | +1½-210 -1½+180 | 4 3 | -0.71505-0.69315 | -0.92806 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Seattle Mariners | 50.4% 49.6% | +118 -138 +120 -130 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+140 | 6 7 | -0.58284-0.59012 | -0.70148 | |
| San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers | 47.5% 52.5% | +147 -167 +150 -155 | +1½-133 -1½+113 +1½-120 -1½+100 | 7 6 | -0.93410-0.92410 | -0.74370 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Pittsburgh Pirates | 61.2% 38.8% | -101 -119 +100 -115 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 3 2 | -0.73303-0.72743 | -0.49022 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox | 34.2% 65.8% | +117 -137 +125 -135 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 2 3 | -0.58623-0.57304 | -0.41861 | |
| Chicago Cubs Colorado Rockies | 46.8% 53.2% | +100 -120 +100 -115 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 5 2 | -0.73760-0.72743 | -0.75856 | |
| New York Yankees Atlanta Braves | 49.0% 51.0% | +205 -245 +205 -240 | +1½+120 -1½-140 +1½+120 -1½-140 | 2 5 | -0.37959-0.38151 | -0.67319 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Philadelphia Phillies | 51.0% 49.0% | -120 +100 -110 -110 | +1½-220 -1½+190 +1½-205 -1½+190 | 6 5 | -0.65059-0.69315 | -0.67344 | |
| Minnesota Twins Washington Nationals | 47.8% 52.2% | +133 -153 +140 -160 | +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 8 9 | -0.53631-0.51706 | -0.64925 | |
| Houston Astros St. Louis Cardinals | 55.1% 44.9% | -125 +105 -115 +105 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-160 | 9 1 | -0.63023-0.64814 | -0.59515 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.75877 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.77596 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.84518 | -0.08641 -0.06922 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.