MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Schultz
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
60.9%
39.1%
+122
-135
+125
-135
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-156
-1½+150
5.85
4.72
10.57
o10-115
u10-101
o10-110
u10-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
MacKenzie Gore
Joey Cantillo
41.7%
58.3%
-102
-108
-102
-102
+1½-215
-1½+185

4.58
5.44
10.02
o8-105
u8-115
o8-110
u8½-115
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Troy Melton
Will Warren
35.4%
64.6%
+123
-136
+125
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.27
5.79
10.06
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u10-120
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Andrew Alvarez
Payton Tolle
40.6%
59.4%
+122
-135
+133
-142
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
4.77
5.76
10.53
o9½-110
u9½-105
o10+105
u10-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Walker Buehler
Colin Rea
56.8%
43.2%
+110
-121
+115
-123
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+158
5.29
4.58
9.87
o12-110
u12-110
o12-110
u11½+100
New York Mets (60-60)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Freddy Peralta
Braydon Fisher
36.3%
63.7%
-108
-102
-110
+105
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
4.23
5.67
9.90
o8½-120
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Paul Skenes
Zack Wheeler
36.4%
63.6%
+119
-131
+123
-132
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-176
-1½+160
3.98
5.42
9.40
o8+100
u8-109
o8-115
u8-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Michael McGreevy
Reynaldo Lopez
41.9%
58.1%
+116
-128
+117
-125
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+160
3.87
4.72
8.59
o9-110
u9-105
o9+100
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Shane McClanahan
Seth Lugo
57.2%
42.8%
-127
+115
-130
+125
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
5.65
4.90
10.55
o10½-110
u10½-110
o10½-110
u10+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Andrew Abbott
Shane Drohan
43.4%
56.6%
+142
-157
+148
-154
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
4.05
4.74
8.79
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Taj Bradley
Tatsuya Imai
38.5%
61.5%
+116
-128
+117
-122
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.15
5.36
9.51
o8-127
u8+107
o8-120
u8+105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Max Meyer
Kyle Freeland
46.7%
53.3%
-162
+147
-157
+150
-1½-110
+1½-104
-1½-105
+1½-108
4.67
5.01
9.68
o11-105
u11-115
o11-100
u11-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Trevor McDonald
Zac Gallen
55.5%
44.5%
+115
-127
+115
-116
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+165
4.00
3.43
7.43
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
JT Ginn
53.8%
46.2%
-160
+145
-162
+155
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
4.81
4.40
9.21
o10½+100
u10+110
o9½-115
u9½+115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jun 30, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
39.7%
60.3%
+173
-189
+172
-180
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
7
1
-1.02438-1.01107-0.92437
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
45.7%
54.3%
-111
+101
-114
+109

-1½+150
+1½-165
5
0
-0.66563-0.64090-0.78281
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
41.5%
58.5%
-129
+119
-125
+122
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-155
4
5
-0.80365-0.80350-0.53556
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.6%
44.4%
+117
-124
+119
-121
+1½-178
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
1
-0.78902-0.78803-0.58709
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
52.4%
47.6%
-211
+200
-200
+195
-1½-125
+1½+118
-1½-125
+1½+107
5
3
-0.39966-0.41110-0.64644
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
46.8%
53.2%
-143
+131
-140
+132
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-118
5
9
-0.85840-0.85583-0.63175
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
+210
-220
+211
-210
+1½+100
-1½-105
+1½+102
-1½-105
8
4
-1.14144-1.13361-0.69842
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
45.6%
54.4%
-130
+120
-127
+124
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
2
0
-0.59012-0.58665-0.78496
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
53.9%
46.1%
-109
-101
-106
+100
-1½+145
+1½-164

2
6
-0.71192-0.70761-0.77496
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
54.8%
45.2%
+160
-175
+172
-175
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-118
-1½+110
3
1
-0.97625-1.00463-0.60101
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
37.5%
62.5%
+118
-128
+124
-124
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
4
-0.59724-0.59137-0.46976
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
48.4%
51.6%
+155
-161
+159
-168
+1½-133
-1½+135
+1½-133
-1½+120
4
5
-0.49209-0.47991-0.66099
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
45.8%
54.2%
+126
-137
+126
-130
+1½-169
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
4
-0.56840-0.57821-0.61194
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.3%
48.7%
-105
-105
+100
-107
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
8
3
-0.69315-0.70991-0.66719
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
43.6%
56.4%
-128
+120
-124
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
0
1
-0.80428-0.79153-0.57226
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
41.0%
59.0%
+137
-149
+140
-142
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-152
-1½+140
11
3
-0.88303-0.87890-0.89150
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-4 (0.700)1-0.63705 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64097 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.71672
-0.07967
-0.07574

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.