MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Troy Melton
Will Warren
35.4%
64.6%
+109
-120
+118
-121
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-160
-1½+160
3.99
5.51
9.50
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9½-110
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Brad Lord
Payton Tolle
40.6%
59.4%
+129
-142
+127
-137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+136
4.70
5.70
10.40
o9½+100
u9½-111
o9½-105
u10-120
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Walker Buehler
Colin Rea
56.8%
43.2%
+108
-119
+113
-123
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+158
5.29
4.58
9.87
o12-115
u12-105
o12-110
u11½+100
New York Mets (60-60)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Freddy Peralta
Braydon Fisher
36.3%
63.7%
-101
-109
+100
-105

-1½+160
+1½-170
4.23
5.67
9.90
o8½-120
u8½+100
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Paul Skenes
Zack Wheeler
36.4%
63.6%
+124
-137
+125
-135
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-175
-1½+155
3.87
5.31
9.18
o8-113
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Michael McGreevy
Reynaldo Lopez
41.9%
58.1%
+114
-126
+117
-127
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-160
-1½+152
3.90
4.75
8.65
o9-110
u9-105
o9+100
u9-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Shane McClanahan
Seth Lugo
57.2%
42.8%
-125
+118
-122
+115
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
5.41
4.65
10.06
o10½-110
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Andrew Abbott
Shane Drohan
43.4%
56.6%
+138
-152
+145
-154
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+130
4.05
4.74
8.79
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u8½-105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Taj Bradley
Tatsuya Imai
38.5%
61.5%
+120
-132
+123
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.15
5.36
9.51
o8-127
u8+107
o8-120
u8+105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Max Meyer
Kyle Freeland
46.7%
53.3%
-148
+134
-140
+135
-1½-105
+1½-107
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.86
5.21
10.07
o11-102
u11-115
o11-100
u11-115
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Trevor McDonald
Zac Gallen
55.5%
44.5%
+113
-125
+115
-120
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+160
4.00
3.43
7.43
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
JT Ginn
53.8%
46.2%
-160
+145
-160
+152
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
4.81
4.40
9.21
o10½-130
u11-115
o9½-135
u11-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jun 30, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
61.3%
38.7%
+135
-149
+141
-135
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-146
-1½+150
10.64
o10-115
u10+100
o10-110
u10-105
4th
BOT
1
0
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
41.7%
58.3%
+110
-121
+110
-110
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
9.66
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u8-105
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays
42.6%
57.4%
-124
+114
-125
+115
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
2
6
-0.78145-0.78592-0.55483
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+124
-135
+130
-137
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-156
-1½+140
5
0
-0.82716-0.84567-1.01013
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
49.0%
51.0%
-135
+124
-135
+129
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
12
0
-0.57499-0.56539-0.71408
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+158
-173
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
9
-0.47726-0.46561-0.71325
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
49.5%
50.5%
+179
-197
+181
-190
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
11
-0.43201-0.43383-0.68322
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.7%
47.3%
+144
-157
+150
-158
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
6
-0.51336-0.50269-0.74864
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.0%
64.0%
+169
-185
+172
-180
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+105
10
4
-1.01019-1.01107-1.02276
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
39.5%
60.5%
-193
+176
-195
+185
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+115
5
3
-0.43829-0.42580-0.92811
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
48.4%
51.6%
+150
-164
+155
-164
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+127
6
2
-0.93728-0.94936-0.72617
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
34.2%
65.8%
+108
-118
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
12
-0.63563-0.63297-0.41861
New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays
40.2%
59.8%
-127
+117
-127
+120
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+127
+1½-140
3
2
-0.60086-0.59470-0.91150
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
38.7%
61.3%
+162
-177
+163
-175
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
10
-0.46833-0.46844-0.48968
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+169
-185
+181
-185
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
1
2
-0.45279-0.43711-0.71325
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+134
-146
+137
-147
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+136
1
0
-0.87079-0.87984-0.80802
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.7%
47.3%
+229
-259
+230
-255
+1½+105
-1½-121
+1½+115
-1½-125
2
3
-0.35157-0.35197-0.74864
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
25.6%
74.4%
+121
-132
+125
-130
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
12
6
-0.81423-0.82055-1.36426
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-4 (0.700)1-0.63705 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64097 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.71672
-0.07967
-0.07574

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.