Upcoming Games for July 4, 2026
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Sean Manaea Chris Sale | 44.1% 55.9% | +166 -184 +161 -170 | +1½-130 -1½+113 +1½-135 -1½+122 | 4.10 4.73 | 8.83 | o8-105 u8-115 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Postponed | St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Kyle Leahy Shota Imanaga | 48.8% 51.2% | +144 -159 +141 -148 | +1½-147 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 4.24 4.36 | 8.60 | o8-110 u8-105 o8-110 u8½-115 | ||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Robbie Ray Sean Sullivan | 55.8% 44.2% | -122 +111 -122 +114 | -1½+115 +1½-134 -1½+115 +1½-135 | 5.04 4.43 | 9.47 | o12½-105 u12½-112 o12-115 u12+100 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Jesus Luzardo Michael Wacha | 53.1% 46.9% | -153 +139 -145 +137 | -1½+112 +1½-125 -1½+105 +1½-120 | 4.84 4.52 | 9.36 | o9-110 u9-110 o9-105 u9-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Sonny Gray Sam Aldegheri | 50.6% 49.4% | -165 +149 -160 +150 | -1½-104 +1½-115 -1½+105 +1½-115 | 5.32 5.25 | 10.57 | o8½-107 u8½-110 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Brandon Woodruff Merrill Kelly | 58.4% 41.6% | -158 +143 -150 +140 | -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½+100 +1½-120 | 4.57 3.70 | 8.27 | o9½+100 u9½-117 o9-115 u9½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Sandy Alcantara Aaron Civale | 40.3% 59.7% | -135 +122 -125 +125 | -1½+115 +1½-131 -1½+118 +1½-130 | 3.75 4.76 | 8.51 | o11-118 u11½-115 o11-105 u11+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Wandy Peralta Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 41.5% 58.5% | +216 -242 +230 -250 | +1½+110 -1½-125 +1½+105 -1½-115 | 3.86 4.75 | 8.61 | o8½-115 u8½-105 o8½-110 u8½+100 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves New York Mets | 43.9% 56.1% | +115 -125 +118 -126 | +1½-182 -1½+162 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 4 8 | -0.60825-0.60037 | -0.57828 | |
| Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays | 37.5% 62.5% | +108 -117 +106 -115 | +1½-194 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 5 6 | -0.63747-0.64582 | -0.46932 | |
| San Diego Padres Baltimore Orioles | 61.3% 38.7% | +178 -195 +176 -186 | +1½-117 -1½+100 +1½-118 -1½+105 | 6 4 | -1.04299-1.02781 | -0.48887 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Tampa Bay Rays | 42.7% 57.3% | -104 -106 -102 -105 | +1½-215 -1½+190 | 3 2 | -0.69780-0.70029 | -0.85090 | |
| Cleveland Indians Philadelphia Phillies | 43.0% 57.0% | +167 -183 +168 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-129 -1½+111 | 3 1 | -1.00302-1.00169 | -0.84367 | |
| Minnesota Twins Detroit Tigers | 51.3% 48.7% | -182 +166 -175 +165 | -1½-105 +1½-106 -1½-110 +1½-105 | 9 3 | -0.45901-0.46561 | -0.66656 | |
| Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Angels | 50.5% 49.5% | +101 -111 +100 -105 | +1½-192 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+173 | 6 5 | -0.72144-0.70528 | -0.68246 | |
| Atlanta Braves New York Mets | 43.9% 56.1% | -117 +107 -110 +108 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 | 2 3 | -0.74957-0.73693 | -0.57828 | |
| San Francisco Giants Los Angeles Dodgers | 36.3% 63.7% | +110 -120 +115 -118 | +1½-193 -1½+168 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 4 6 | -0.62755-0.62019 | -0.45044 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays | 47.2% 52.8% | +100 -110 +107 -109 | -1½+170 +1½-180 | 13 0 | -0.71668-0.73216 | -0.75175 | |
| Chicago White Sox Texas Rangers | 59.3% 40.7% | +214 -240 +220 -235 | +1½+115 -1½-123 +1½+110 -1½-120 | 1 2 | -0.37237-0.36844 | -0.89916 | |
| Detroit Tigers Cleveland Indians | 43.3% 56.7% | +130 -142 +135 -142 | +1½-162 -1½+142 +1½-160 -1½+143 | 3 0 | -0.85426-0.86664 | -0.83792 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Miami Marlins | 44.7% 55.3% | -202 +183 -201 +189 | -1½-135 +1½+115 -1½-130 +1½+115 | 7 6 | -0.42416-0.41750 | -0.80611 | |
| San Diego Padres Washington Nationals | 49.8% 50.2% | -149 +137 -150 +142 | -1½+100 +1½-113 -1½+100 +1½-115 | 3 0 | -0.53363-0.52396 | -0.69714 | |
| San Francisco Giants Los Angeles Dodgers | 41.0% 59.0% | +170 -186 +168 -180 | +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-120 -1½+112 | 8 3 | -1.01377-1.00169 | -0.89121 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Kansas City Royals | 43.5% 56.5% | +109 -119 +112 -120 | +1½-183 -1½+163 +1½-185 -1½+172 | 8 6 | -0.75877-0.76841 | -0.83195 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 11 | 6-5 (0.545) | 0 | -0.65570 | |
| Sportsbooks | 11 | 7-4 (0.636) | 0 | -0.64247 | |
| DRatings | 11 | 5-6 (0.455) | 0 | -0.74837 | -0.09267 -0.10590 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.