MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSan Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Robbie Ray
Sean Sullivan
55.8%
44.2%
-121
+110
-122
+114
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o12½-105
u12½-112
o12-115
u12+100
PostponedSt. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Kyle Leahy
Shota Imanaga
48.8%
51.2%
+144
-159
+141
-148
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
4.24
4.36
8.60
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Sonny Gray
Sam Aldegheri
50.6%
49.4%
-166
+150
-160
+155
-1½-104
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
5.32
5.25
10.57
o8½-107
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Woodruff
Merrill Kelly
58.4%
41.6%
-162
+147
-150
+140
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-115
4.57
3.70
8.27
o9½+100
u9½-117
o9-115
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Sandy Alcantara
Aaron Civale
40.3%
59.7%
-132
+120
-125
+123
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-130
3.75
4.76
8.51
o11-118
u11½-115
o11-105
u11+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Wandy Peralta
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
41.5%
58.5%
+220
-245
+230
-250
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-115
3.86
4.75
8.61
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Games for Jul 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
54.2%
45.8%
+121
-133
+122
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
9.11
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7-120
u7½-105
6th
TOP
1
1
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
45.4%
54.6%
+104
-115
+100
-109

-1½+170
+1½-185
8.26
o7-118
u7+100
o7-120
u7+100
5th
BOT
7
4
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
36.4%
63.6%
+112
-123
+113
-122
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
9.76
o9-120
u9+105
o9-115
u9-105
4th
BOT
8
4
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
44.1%
55.9%
+171
-190
+174
-170
+1½-125
-1½+109
+1½-130
-1½+122
8.83
o8-105
u8-115
o8-110
u8-110
3rd
BOT
0
1
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
53.1%
46.9%
-156
+141
-145
+141
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
9.36
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
3rd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+236
-268
+240
-270
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+127
-1½-135
2
10
-0.34265-0.33865-0.89916
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.2%
52.8%
-116
+106
-112
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+152
+1½-165
3
6
-0.74492-0.73126-0.63779
New York Mets
New York Yankees
37.6%
62.4%
+150
-164
+160
-161
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
12
3
-0.93728-0.95698-0.97838
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-106
-104
-102
-102

-1½+155
+1½-170
12
3
-0.68852-0.69315-0.60417
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
41.1%
58.9%
-135
+124
-133
+127
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
3
6
-0.82716-0.83105-0.52924
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
46.4%
53.6%
+131
-143
+130
-134
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
2
-0.55137-0.56488-0.62355
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
48.1%
51.9%
+144
-157
+147
-155
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
2
1
-0.91250-0.91684-0.73201
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-144
+132
-144
+137
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-128
8
1
-0.54834-0.53940-0.69205
Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies
47.7%
52.3%
-141
+130
-138
+138
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
7
20
-0.85257-0.86710-0.64750
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
55.0%
45.0%
+128
-139
+130
-136
+1½-170
-1½+156
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
2
-0.84416-0.84390-0.59738
Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins
55.2%
44.8%
-126
+116
-127
+118
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
4
5
-0.79039-0.79735-0.80272
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
-105
-105
-110
+105

+1½-210
-1½+190
0
5
-0.69315-0.72940-0.79533
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
50.9%
49.1%
+108
-118
+110
-117
+1½-185
-1½+169
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
4
-0.75417-0.75717-0.67625
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.7%
58.3%
+139
-152
+144
-150
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
5
-0.52690-0.52062-0.53960
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+138
-150
+144
-149
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+141
5
1
-0.88707-0.90020-0.71225
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-133
+122
-133
+128
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
2
8
-0.81855-0.83354-0.69425
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.62761 
Sportsbooks96-3 (0.667)0-0.61429 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.74038
-0.11277
-0.12609

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.