MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Wandy Peralta
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
41.5%
58.5%
+231
-260
+238
-250
+1½+114
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-115
3.86
4.75
8.61
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Games for Jul 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
45.4%
54.6%
+104
-115
+100
-109

-1½+170
+1½-185
8.26
o7-118
u7+100
o7-120
u7+100
9th
TOP
8
8
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
36.4%
63.6%
+112
-123
+113
-122
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
9.76
o9-120
u9+105
o9-115
u9-105
9th
BOT
8
5
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
44.1%
55.9%
+171
-190
+174
-170
+1½-125
-1½+109
+1½-130
-1½+122
8.83
o8-105
u8-115
o8-110
u8-110
6th
BOT
3
6
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
53.1%
46.9%
-156
+141
-145
+141
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
9.36
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
7th
BOT
5
1
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
55.8%
44.2%
-121
+110
-122
+114
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-135
9.47
o12½-105
u12½-112
o12-115
u12+100
4th
BOT
6
3
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
48.8%
51.2%
+144
-159
+141
-148
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
8.60
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8½-115
3rd
BOT
2
0
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
50.6%
49.4%
-170
+154
-160
+155
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
10.57
o8½-107
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
2nd
TOP
3
0
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
58.4%
41.6%
-163
+147
-155
+145
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+110
+1½-110
8.27
o9-125
u9½-117
o9-115
u9½-115
2nd
TOP
0
3
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
40.3%
59.7%
-133
+121
-125
+125
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+118
+1½-130
8.51
o11-118
u11½-115
o11-105
u11+100
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-133
+122
-133
+128
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
2
8
-0.81855-0.83354-0.69425
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
55.0%
45.0%
-104
-106
-104
-103
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
1
0
-0.69780-0.69079-0.59738
Boston Red Sox
Colorado Rockies
50.7%
49.3%
-152
+139
-145
+144
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-113
6
0
-0.52690-0.52619-0.67855
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
41.8%
58.2%
+100
-110
+102
-105
+1½-192
-1½+175
-1½+160
+1½-180
6
2
-0.71668-0.71031-0.87127
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
+119
-129
+124
-127
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
2
3
-0.59365-0.58665-0.89916
Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
-145
+133
-142
+135
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-133
3
0
-0.54531-0.54535-0.69884
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.5%
52.5%
+112
-122
+120
-124
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
2
-0.77245-0.79653-0.74366
New York Mets
New York Yankees
42.0%
58.0%
+133
-145
+138
-145
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+133
3
2
-0.86669-0.87904-0.86736
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
+104
-114
+104
-111
+1½-194
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+180
4
0
-0.73560-0.72909-0.60417
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
41.1%
58.9%
-165
+151
-165
+155
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
3
6
-0.94110-0.95078-0.52924
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
43.3%
56.7%
+117
-127
+120
-125
+1½-178
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
4
5
-0.60086-0.59784-0.56671
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
+158
-173
+163
-170
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+117
2
1
-0.96885-0.97678-0.60044
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.7%
58.3%
+100
-110
+108
-111
+1½-208
-1½+178
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
3
-0.67015-0.64913-0.53960
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+140
-153
+143
-153
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
1
-0.89664-0.90402-0.71225
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.1%
49.9%
-149
+137
-145
+136
-1½+110
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-128
0
4
-0.88303-0.87412-0.69425
Philadelphia Phillies
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
-109
-101
-110
+103
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
7
-0.71192-0.72433-0.68748
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.61759 
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.60811 
DRatings74-3 (0.571)0-0.73650
-0.11891
-0.12839

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.