MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Martin Perez
44.1%
55.9%
-108
-102
+100
-101

+1½-190
-1½+190
4.12
4.74
8.86
o9+100
u8½-105
o9+100
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bubba Chandler
Cade Cavalli
40.0%
60.0%
+128
-141
+128
-130
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.30
5.34
9.64
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Kyle Bradish
Nick Lodolo
36.4%
63.6%
-113
+103
-114
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-155
4.17
5.59
9.76
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9½-120
u9½+100
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Ryan
Ryan Weathers
39.6%
60.4%
+114
-126
+120
-125
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.71
5.81
10.52
o8-115
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Chris Murphy
Tanner Bibee
54.1%
45.9%
+121
-133
+122
-129
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8-115
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Matthew Liberatore
Javier Assad
48.8%
51.2%
+129
-142
+135
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.26
4.39
8.65
o8-105
u8-110
o8+105
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Nola
Luinder Avila
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+122
-134
+125
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+118
+1½-134
4.67
4.35
9.02
o10-113
u10-105
o10-105
u10-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Casey Mize
Kumar Rocker
46.8%
53.2%
-118
+107
-115
+107
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.89
5.22
10.11
o7½-113
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Mason Englert
Peter Lambert
45.4%
54.6%
+104
-115
+107
-115
+1½-195
-1½+180
+1½-195
-1½+175
3.89
4.37
8.26
o9-108
u9-110
o9+100
u9-120
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Sproat
Eduardo Rodriguez
59.8%
40.2%
-117
+106
-117
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-140
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Mahle
Tanner Gordon
55.8%
44.2%
-115
+104
-111
+105
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o13-107
u13-110
o12½-120
u13-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eury Perez
Gage Jump
39.7%
60.3%
+105
-116
+106
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10-105
u10-110
o9½-110
u10-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
+112
-123
+118
-125
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.04
4.60
9.64
o7½+102
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+182
-202
+180
-200
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
3.87
4.77
8.64
o9½-110
u9½-101
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-155
+140
-150
+140
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Colorado Rockies
45.7%
54.3%
-176
+161
-170
+155
-1½-120
+1½+104
-1½-118
+1½+105
2
4
-0.97995-0.95763-0.60976
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
55.3%
44.7%
+130
-142
+132
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
13
12
-0.85426-0.85583-0.59200
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
59.9%
40.1%
-111
+101
-102
+100

+1½-200
-1½+184
0
3
-0.72144-0.69808-0.91320
San Francisco Giants
Cleveland Indians
54.9%
45.1%
+163
-178
+165
-176
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
2
-0.98730-0.98948-0.60039
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
42.0%
58.0%
+122
-133
+122
-130
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
6
-0.81855-0.81306-0.86779
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
39.5%
60.5%
+117
-127
+117
-122
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
4
-0.79483-0.78504-0.92859
Chicago White Sox
Miami Marlins
55.3%
44.7%
+128
-139
+129
-130
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-164
-1½+160
3
2
-0.84416-0.83046-0.59267
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
46.1%
53.9%
+124
-135
+129
-129
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
3
-0.82716-0.82855-0.77527
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
45.7%
54.3%
-149
+137
-150
+144
-1½+100
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-115
7
6
-0.53363-0.52062-0.78404
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.1%
42.9%
+127
-138
+125
-129
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
14
-0.56518-0.58164-0.84714
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago Cubs
50.8%
49.2%
+174
-190
+170
-180
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
5
-0.44279-0.45497-0.71017
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
-104
-105
+107
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+180
9
3
-0.69549-0.73443-1.09327
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
57.2%
42.8%
-108
-102
-106
+100
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
10
8
-0.67930-0.67889-0.55813
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
55.0%
45.0%
-130
+120
-130
+128
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
3
4
-0.80802-0.82798-0.79944
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
47.1%
52.9%
+110
-120
+116
-120
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
2
-0.76336-0.77849-0.75345
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
43.4%
56.6%
-146
+134
-146
+137
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-138
3
7
-0.87079-0.87822-0.56849
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.65043 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.64882 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.73142
-0.08099
-0.08260

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.