MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Casey Mize
Kumar Rocker
46.8%
53.2%
-122
+111
-120
+110
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+150
+1½-160
4.87
5.21
10.08
o7½-118
u8-115
o8+105
u7½+105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Mason Englert
Peter Lambert
45.4%
54.6%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-195
-1½+175
3.89
4.37
8.26
o9+100
u9-112
o9+100
u9-120
PostponedChicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Chris Murphy
Tanner Bibee
54.1%
45.9%
+120
-132
+122
-129
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+155
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8-110
u8-109
o8-115
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Sproat
Eduardo Rodriguez
59.8%
40.2%
-115
+104
-116
+107
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+134
+1½-140
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-102
u9-115
o9+100
u9-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Mahle
Tanner Gordon
55.8%
44.2%
-113
+103
-112
+106
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o13½+104
u13-115
o13-105
u13-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eury Perez
Gage Jump
39.7%
60.3%
+105
-116
+107
-112
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10-105
u10-110
o9½-110
u10-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
+102
-112
+110
-115
+1½-210
-1½+181
+1½-190
-1½+185
5.05
4.61
9.66
o7½+102
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+195
-218
+195
-220
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
3.89
4.77
8.66
o10+100
u10-115
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-154
+139
-150
+140
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.36
5.29
10.65
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
40.0%
60.0%
+129
-142
+128
-130
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+143
9.64
o10-105
u9½+105
o9½-110
u10+100
6th
BOT
4
4
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
36.4%
63.6%
-112
+102
-108
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
9.76
o9½-110
u9½-102
o9½-105
u9½+100
8th
BOT
1
2
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
39.6%
60.4%
+118
-130
+122
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
10.52
o8-105
u8-110
o8+105
u8½-115
6th
TOP
4
0
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
44.1%
55.9%
-112
+102
+100
+107

+1½-190
-1½+195
8.86
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-110
4th
TOP
5
3
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
48.8%
51.2%
+122
-135
+130
-134
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+160
8.80
o8-110
u8-108
o8-110
u8+100
2nd
BOT
0
2
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
53.1%
46.9%
-128
+116
-126
+122
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-134
8.80
o10-110
u10-108
o10-105
u10-105
1st
BOT
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
40.8%
59.2%
+117
-127
+114
-120
+1½-193
-1½+175

3
5
-0.60086-0.61880-0.52487
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
52.7%
47.3%
+172
-188
+176
-187
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
5
3
-1.02085-1.02901-0.64016
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
49.0%
51.0%
-102
-108
+100
-107
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
6
7
-0.67930-0.67666-0.67295
Cincinnati Reds
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+191
-212
+190
-210
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
5
4
-1.09103-1.08672-0.85727
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.9%
49.1%
-130
+121
-138
+132
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
7
2
-0.58810-0.55582-0.67505
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
54.2%
45.8%
-152
+139
-152
+145
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-120
8
3
-0.52690-0.51683-0.61328
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
54.2%
45.8%
+191
-212
+190
-200
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½-110
-1½-105
6
7
-0.40928-0.41690-0.78180
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
+109
-119
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
7
4
-0.75877-0.75509-0.63663
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
55.0%
45.0%
-142
+130
-140
+138
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
7
8
-0.85426-0.87060-0.79944
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-113
+103
-114
+106
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+140
+1½-154
9
7
-0.65676-0.64777-0.68880
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
48.6%
51.4%
-124
+114
-117
+114
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+139
+1½-145
3
1
-0.61201-0.62416-0.72165
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
50.4%
49.6%
+149
-163
+155
-167
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+122
11
2
-0.93344-0.95355-0.68613
Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.7%
41.3%
+175
-192
+176
-190
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
1
5
-0.44021-0.44020-0.88479
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
45.9%
54.1%
-110
+100
-105
+102
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-175
5
3
-0.67015-0.67627-0.77871
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-102
-108
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
7
6
-0.70719-0.70029-0.93303
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-105
-105
-105
+109
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-145
4
10
-0.69315-0.72778-0.73395
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.63386 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.63287 
DRatings138-5 (0.615)0-0.71643
-0.08257
-0.08356

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.