MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
-105
-105
+110
-106
+1½-225
-1½+189
+1½-190
-1½+195
5.05
4.61
9.66
o7½+107
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+195
-218
+195
-220
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
3.89
4.77
8.66
o10-105
u10-110
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-154
+139
-152
+143
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-125
5.36
5.29
10.65
o8-110
u8-106
o8-105
u8-110
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
44.1%
55.9%
-112
+102
+100
+107

+1½-190
-1½+195
8.86
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-110
9th
BOT
10
3
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
48.8%
51.2%
+122
-135
+130
-134
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+160
8.80
o8-110
u8-108
o8-110
u8+100
8th
TOP
4
6
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
53.1%
46.9%
-128
+116
-126
+122
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-134
8.80
o10-110
u10-108
o10-105
u10-105
8th
TOP
2
3
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
46.8%
53.2%
-122
+111
-120
+110
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+150
+1½-160
10.08
o7½-118
u8-115
o8+105
u7½+105
5th
TOP
6
1
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
45.4%
54.6%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-195
-1½+175
8.26
o9+100
u9-112
o9+100
u9-120
5th
BOT
0
1
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
54.1%
45.9%
+120
-132
+122
-129
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+155
9.21
o8-110
u8-109
o8-115
u8½-110
5th
BOT
6
3
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
59.8%
40.2%
-113
+103
-116
+107
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+134
+1½-140
8.47
o9+100
u8½-105
o9+100
u9-105
3rd
BOT
0
1
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
55.8%
44.2%
-113
+103
-112
+110
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
9.47
o13-105
u13-105
o13-105
u13+105
3rd
BOT
2
4
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
39.7%
60.3%
+105
-116
+110
-117
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
9.14
o10-110
u10-107
o9½-110
u10-115
2nd
TOP
2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
45.9%
54.1%
-110
+100
-105
+102
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-175
5
3
-0.67015-0.67627-0.77871
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-102
-108
-102
-105
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
7
6
-0.70719-0.70029-0.93303
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-105
-105
-105
+109
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-145
4
10
-0.69315-0.72778-0.73395
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
49.6%
50.4%
+106
-116
+106
-112
+1½-205
-1½+180

0
2
-0.64392-0.65174-0.68441
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox
38.3%
61.7%
+193
-214
+197
-212
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-114
-1½-104
5
4
-1.09757-1.10461-0.95904
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
+117
-127
+116
-123
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
2
6
-0.60086-0.60941-0.67828
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
45.6%
54.4%
+168
-184
+171
-185
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-129
-1½+111
1
7
-0.45484-0.45009-0.60853
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
41.2%
58.8%
+166
-182
+170
-182
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
0
5
-0.45901-0.45353-0.53040
Houston Astros
New York Mets
52.9%
47.1%
+112
-122
+110
-118
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-185
-1½+165
10
5
-0.77245-0.75927-0.63769
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.2%
51.8%
-119
+110
-110
+104
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+146
+1½-160
8
1
-0.62933-0.66054-0.72998
San Diego Padres
Boston Red Sox
48.4%
51.6%
-103
-107
-102
-105
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
1
4
-0.68389-0.68605-0.66099
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
42.0%
58.0%
+219
-247
+225
-250
+1½+107
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-120
6
7
-0.36491-0.35820-0.54445
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
34.3%
65.7%
+167
-182
+175
-187
+1½-120
-1½+101
+1½-115
-1½+102
4
2
-1.00179-1.02669-1.07020
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
47.5%
52.5%
-114
+104
-110
+105
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
5
1
-0.65243-0.65817-0.74459
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
40.2%
59.8%
-113
+103
-113
+106
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
5
6
-0.73091-0.73854-0.51421
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
48.5%
51.5%
+148
-162
+152
-161
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+120
5
6
-0.50206-0.49671-0.66382
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.67648 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.67486 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.71719
-0.04071
-0.04233

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.