MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mike Burrows
Miles Mikolas
56.3%
43.7%
-102
-108
+104
-108
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.86
4.20
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10+100
u10-110
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Reynaldo Lopez
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-121
+111
-116
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.18
5.23
9.41
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-109
+102
-114
+105
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+140
+1½-160
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+113
-125
+112
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-106
-104
-103
+100

-1½+155
+1½-170
4.35
4.73
9.08
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+201
-225
+205
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
4.26
5.98
10.24
o9½-122
u10-110
o9½-125
u9½+105
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
47.1%
52.9%
-121
+110
-120
+113
-1½+145
+1½-165

9.01
o7½+105
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
2nd
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
48.0%
52.0%
-137
+126
-140
+131
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-128
9
1
-0.56840-0.55511-0.73482
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
44.8%
55.2%
+149
-163
+152
-152
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+130
0
2
-0.49956-0.50556-0.59484
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.1%
37.9%
-113
+103
-105
-102

+1½-215
-1½+192
9
3
-0.65676-0.68605-0.47623
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
50.2%
49.8%
-144
+132
-138
+129
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-121
12
7
-0.54834-0.56140-0.68890
St. Louis Cardinals
Houston Astros
38.7%
61.3%
+134
-146
+138
-146
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+140
4
2
-0.87079-0.88068-0.95039
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
53.0%
47.0%
+101
-111
-104
-103
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
9
-0.66563-0.69551-0.75479
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
40.9%
59.1%
-154
+141
-150
+142
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-126
4
3
-0.52140-0.52396-0.89289
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.5%
39.5%
-101
-109
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
8
-0.67472-0.65009-0.92849
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
55.3%
44.7%
-105
-105
+100
-104


2
4
-0.69315-0.68349-0.80585
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
52.3%
47.7%
-124
+114
-122
+115
-1½+120
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
1
-0.61201-0.61323-0.64900
St. Louis Cardinals
Houston Astros
38.7%
61.3%
+141
-154
+145
-153
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+131
5
8
-0.52140-0.51577-0.48872
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
55.1%
44.9%
+246
-280
+252
-285
+1½+130
-1½-147
+1½+130
-1½-145
6
7
-0.33091-0.32482-0.80120
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
51.6%
48.4%
+101
-111
+102
-109

-1½+163
+1½-180
3
1
-0.72144-0.71953-0.66250
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
54.7%
45.3%
-155
+142
-152
+145
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-118
8
3
-0.51869-0.51683-0.60278
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
38.4%
61.6%
-145
+134
-140
+138
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
10
1
-0.54352-0.54249-0.95808
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
39.6%
60.4%
+159
-174
+164
-168
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-128
-1½+110
1
5
-0.47499-0.47266-0.50421
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.89878 
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.89359 
DRatings31-2 (0.333)0-0.77251
0.12627
0.12107

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.