MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 6, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Shane Drohan
Dustin May
52.9%
47.1%
-120
+109
-114
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+143
+1½-160
4.42
4.12
8.54
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Brandon Pfaadt
Walker Buehler
33.8%
66.2%
+113
-125
+112
-120
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.28
4.95
8.23
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kevin Gausman
Landen Roupp
46.4%
53.6%
-107
-103
-103
+100
-1½+160
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-170
4.35
4.73
9.08
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-120
u7½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Kyle Freeland
Eric Lauer
33.3%
66.7%
+206
-230
+210
-237
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
4.26
5.98
10.24
o10-110
u10-105
o10-110
u10+100
Games for Jul 5, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
47.1%
52.9%
-121
+110
-120
+113
-1½+145
+1½-165

9.01
o7½+105
u7+100
o7-115
u7½-120
5th
BOT
3
0
Houston Astros (70-50)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
56.3%
43.7%
-102
-108
+104
-108
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+165
9.06
o10-110
u10-107
o10+100
u10-110
4th
BOT
6
6
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
40.0%
60.0%
+110
-121
+113
-117
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+165
9.41
o9-110
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
2nd
BOT
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-140
+129
-135
+127
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
6
3
-0.55881-0.56920-0.68880
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
55.6%
44.4%
-128
+118
-127
+119
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
9
5
-0.59724-0.59673-0.58717
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
47.6%
52.4%
+115
-125
+114
-122
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-190
-1½+170
5
8
-0.60825-0.61535-0.64718
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
50.3%
49.7%
+138
-150
+138
-146
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
2
-0.53079-0.53529-0.69935
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
67.0%
33.0%
-182
+166
-175
+170
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+110
0
1
-0.99943-0.99997-1.10887
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.5%
39.5%
+113
-119
+117
-125
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
4
-0.62273-0.60404-0.92849
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
52.2%
47.8%
-147
+135
-146
+139
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
1
2
-0.87488-0.88312-0.73731
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
51.6%
48.4%
-109
-101
-103
+103
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
13
3
-0.67472-0.67848-0.66198
St. Louis Cardinals
Houston Astros
28.4%
71.6%
+165
-180
+166
-180
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
7
-0.46185-0.46045-0.33366
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
-102
-108
-105
-102

-1½+155
+1½-170
2
1
-0.70719-0.68605-0.75830
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
30.4%
69.6%
-113
+103
-110
+105
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
2
-0.65676-0.65817-1.18945
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
+102
-112
+104
-112
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+176
8
7
-0.72619-0.73126-0.68830
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
50.3%
49.7%
+169
-185
+176
-188
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
1
3
-0.45279-0.44150-0.69935
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
44.1%
55.9%
+124
-135
+132
-134
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+141
5
4
-0.82716-0.84525-0.81842
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
48.1%
51.9%
+183
-202
+182
-200
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-129
-1½+111
1
5
-0.42416-0.42652-0.65574
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+230
-250
+227
-250
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-128
0
4
-0.35364-0.35636-0.40528
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.79712 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.79474 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.71902
0.07810
0.07572

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.